Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Warren is Over 14.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 99 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 99%, implied 92%, edge +8.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 14.5
-1111 (1.09) · $100→$109
+8.2% Edge
Baltimore Ravens
@
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
Our call on Tyler Warren tonight: ●●● ●.● @ ●.●●1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Warren (groin) was off the injury report Wednesday.
updated Sep 9, 8:41PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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How often this wins
99 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 99.0% · the book's price implies 91.7% · gap +8.2%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 99.0% | 99.0% | 91.7% | 1.09 | +8.2% |
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Tyler Warren (IND) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-1111)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Indianapolis Colts play Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tyler Warren (IND) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -1111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $10.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Tyler Warren's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Tyler Warren's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Tyler Warren's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Receptions (Alt) 9.5
Tyler Warren's receptions (alt) line is 9.5.
Receptions (Alt) 8.5
Tyler Warren's receptions (alt) line is 8.5.
Receptions (Alt) 7.5
Tyler Warren's receptions (alt) line is 7.5.
Receptions (Alt) 6.5
+120 best over price · 1 book
Tyler Warren's receptions (alt) line is 6.5, best over price +120 across 1 book.
Receptions (Alt) 5.5
+120 best over price · 1 book
Tyler Warren's receptions (alt) line is 5.5, best over price +120 across 1 book.
Receptions (Alt) 2.5
Tyler Warren's receptions (alt) line is 2.5.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · Baltimore RavensO 47.5 -114 47.5posted line · receiving yds
Tyler Warren has a live NFL receiving yards market for Baltimore Ravens: over 47.5 receiving yds priced at -114.
ReceptionsNext game · Baltimore RavensO 5.5 +154 5.5posted line · receptions
Tyler Warren has a live NFL receptions market for Baltimore Ravens: over 5.5 receptions priced at +154.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Tyler Warren (IND) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Warren is Over 14.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.2% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts on Sunday 13 September at Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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