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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Trevor Lawrence is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 30 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 30%, implied 29%, edge +1.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
NFL

Trevor Lawrence

JAX

+1.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD Yes +240 (3.40) · $100→$340
+1.0% Edge
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Lawrence will have a new backup in 2026, as Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports that the Jaguars traded for Quinn Ewers from the Dolphins on Saturday.
updated Sep 3, 4:44PM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
30 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 30.4% · the book's price implies 29.4% · gap +1.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD30.4%30.4%29.4%3.40+1.0%

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AI Analysis

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Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+240)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Jacksonville Jaguars play Cleveland Browns in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Trevor Lawrence (JAX) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +240 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $34 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Trevor Lawrence's lines for Sun 13 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Anytime TD
+250 best over price · 13 books

Trevor Lawrence's anytime td line is posted, best over price +250 across 13 books.

Passing Yards (Alt) 159.5

Trevor Lawrence's passing yards (alt) line is 159.5.

Passing Yards (Alt) 149.5

Trevor Lawrence's passing yards (alt) line is 149.5.

Passing Touchdowns 1.5

Trevor Lawrence's passing touchdowns line is 1.5.

Interceptions Thrown (Alt) 1.5

Trevor Lawrence's interceptions thrown (alt) line is 1.5.

Rushing Yards 18.5
-110 best over price · 4 books

Trevor Lawrence's rushing yards line is 18.5, best over price -110 across 4 books.

Rushing Yards 17.5
-110 best over price · 4 books

Trevor Lawrence's rushing yards line is 17.5, best over price -110 across 4 books.

Interceptions Thrown 0.5

Trevor Lawrence's interceptions thrown line is 0.5.

Betting angles

3 markets live
Passing YardsNext game · Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville JaguarsO 149.5 -1429
149.5posted line · passing yds

Trevor Lawrence has a live NFL passing yards market for Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars: over 149.5 passing yds priced at -1429.

Anytime TDNext game · Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville JaguarsAnytime TD +250

Trevor Lawrence has a live NFL anytime td market for Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars priced at +250.

Rushing YardsNext game · Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville JaguarsO 9.5 -294
9.5posted line · rushing yds

Trevor Lawrence has a live NFL rushing yards market for Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars: over 9.5 rushing yds priced at -294.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Trevor Lawrence (JAX) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trevor Lawrence is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.0% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday 13 September at Jacksonville. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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