Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tony Pollard is Over 49.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 15 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 15%, implied 4%, edge +10.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 49.5
+2400 (25.00) · $100→$2,500
+10.8% Edge
New York Jets
@
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Pollard is set to lead a group of four running backs that made the Titans' initial 53-man roster.
updated Sep 3, 6:54PM UTC · 6d old
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How often this wins
15 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 14.8% · the book's price implies 4.0% · gap +10.8%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 14.8% | 14.8% | 4.0% | 25.00 | +10.8% |
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Tony Pollard (TEN) Over 49.5 Player reception yds alternate (+2400)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Tennessee Titans play New York Jets in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Tony Pollard (TEN) Over 49.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at +2400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $250 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Tony Pollard's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5
Tony Pollard's receiving yards (alt) line is 49.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Tony Pollard's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5
Tony Pollard's rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 29.5
Tony Pollard's rushing yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 24.5
Tony Pollard's rushing yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 19.5
Tony Pollard's rushing yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 69.5
Tony Pollard's rushing yards (alt) line is 69.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 59.5
Tony Pollard's rushing yards (alt) line is 59.5.
Betting angles
3 markets liveRushing YardsNext game · New York JetsO 39.5 -256 39.5posted line · rushing yds
Tony Pollard has a live NFL rushing yards market for New York Jets: over 39.5 rushing yds priced at -256.
Receiving YardsNext game · New York JetsO 39.5 +1280 39.5posted line · receiving yds
Tony Pollard has a live NFL receiving yards market for New York Jets: over 39.5 receiving yds priced at +1280.
ReceptionsNext game · New York JetsO 0.5 -667 0.5posted line · receptions
Tony Pollard has a live NFL receptions market for New York Jets: over 0.5 receptions priced at -667.
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1
Tony Pollard's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Tony Pollard (TEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tony Pollard is Over 49.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.8% on this pick. Their next game is New York Jets vs Tennessee Titans on Sunday 13 September at Tennessee. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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