Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Theo Johnson is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns.
On Total Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 4 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 4%, implied 1%, edge +2.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Total Touchdowns
Over 1.5
+7000 (71.00) · $100→$7,100
+2.9% Edge
Dallas Cowboys
@
New York Giants
New York · Indoor
Mon 14 Sep, 12:20AM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Johnson (shoulder) was a full practice participant Wednesday, Dan Salomone of the Giants' official site reports.
updated Sep 9, 8:54PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
4 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 4.3% · the book's price implies 1.4% · gap +2.9%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Total Touchdowns | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 71.00 | +2.9% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Theo Johnson (NYG) Over 1.5 Player tds over (+7000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
New York Giants play Dallas Cowboys in the NFL on Monday 14 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Theo Johnson (NYG) Over 1.5 Player tds over. It was priced at +7000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $710 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Theo Johnson's lines for Mon 14 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Total Touchdowns 1.5
Theo Johnson's total touchdowns line is 1.5.
Anytime TD
+750 best over price · 13 books
Theo Johnson's anytime td line is posted, best over price +750 across 13 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · Dallas Cowboys @ New York GiantsAnytime TD +500
Theo Johnson has a live NFL anytime td market for Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants priced at +500.
Receiving Yards4 lines trackedNo line posted 18.5typical line · receiving yds
line range18.5–20.5tips tracked4
Theo Johnson's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 4 times, typically around a 18.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Theo Johnson (NYG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Theo Johnson is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants on Monday 14 September at New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.