Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Quentin Johnston is Over 14.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 91%, implied 88%, edge +3.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 14.5
-714 (1.14) · $100→$114
+3.4% Edge
Arizona Cardinals
@
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 8:25PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Johnston (lower body) brought in one of two targets for a 65-yard touchdown in the Chargers' 20-18 preseason loss to the Rams on Thursday.
updated Aug 28, 5:59AM UTC · 12d old
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How often this wins
91 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 91.1% · the book's price implies 87.7% · gap +3.4%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 91.1% | 91.1% | 87.7% | 1.14 | +3.4% |
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Quentin Johnston (LAC) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-714)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Los Angeles Chargers play Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Quentin Johnston (LAC) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -714 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Quentin Johnston's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Quentin Johnston's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 9.5
Quentin Johnston's receiving yards (alt) line is 9.5.
Receiving Yards 42.5
-110 best over price · 8 books
Quentin Johnston's receiving yards line is 42.5, best over price -110 across 8 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Quentin Johnston's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Quentin Johnston's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Receptions 3.5
+116 best over price · 12 books
Quentin Johnston's receptions line is 3.5, best over price +116 across 12 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Quentin Johnston's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Quentin Johnston's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Betting angles
1 market liveReceiving YardsNext game · Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles ChargersU 42.5 -114 42.5posted line · receiving yds
Quentin Johnston has a live NFL receiving yards market for Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers: under 42.5 receiving yds priced at -114.
Anytime TD3 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked3
Quentin Johnston's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 3 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Receptions7 lines trackedNo line posted 3.5typical line · receptions
line range3.5–3.5tips tracked7
Quentin Johnston's NFL receptions prop has been priced 7 times, typically around a 3.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Quentin Johnston (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Quentin Johnston is Over 14.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +3.4% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday 13 September at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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