Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Pat Freiermuth is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 22 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 22%, implied 20%, edge +2.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Anytime TD
Yes
+400 (5.00) · $100→$500
+2.3% Edge
Atlanta Falcons
@
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Freiermuth capped the Steelers' preseason schedule with one catch (on one target) for two yards in two contests.
updated Sep 4, 4:19AM UTC · 5d old
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How often this wins
22 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 22.3% · the book's price implies 20.0% · gap +2.3%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Anytime TD | 22.3% | 22.3% | 20.0% | 5.00 | +2.3% |
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Pat Freiermuth (PIT) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+400)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Pittsburgh Steelers play Atlanta Falcons in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Pat Freiermuth (PIT) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Pat Freiermuth's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Anytime TD
+400 best over price · 13 books
Pat Freiermuth's anytime td line is posted, best over price +400 across 13 books.
Total Touchdowns 1.5
Pat Freiermuth's total touchdowns line is 1.5.
Receptions 2.5
-118 best over price · 12 books
Pat Freiermuth's receptions line is 2.5, best over price -118 across 12 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 25.5
-109 best over price · 7 books
Pat Freiermuth's receiving yards (alt) line is 25.5, best over price -109 across 7 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 4.5
Pat Freiermuth's receiving yards (alt) line is 4.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
-109 best over price · 7 books
Pat Freiermuth's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5, best over price -109 across 7 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Pat Freiermuth's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Pat Freiermuth's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Betting angles
3 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · Atlanta FalconsO 14.5 -256 14.5posted line · receiving yds
Pat Freiermuth has a live NFL receiving yards market for Atlanta Falcons: over 14.5 receiving yds priced at -256.
Anytime TDNext game · Atlanta FalconsAnytime TD +400
Pat Freiermuth has a live NFL anytime td market for Atlanta Falcons priced at +400.
ReceptionsNext game · Atlanta FalconsU 2.5 +104 2.5posted line · receptions
Pat Freiermuth has a live NFL receptions market for Atlanta Falcons: under 2.5 receptions priced at +104.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Pat Freiermuth (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Pat Freiermuth is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday 13 September at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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