Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Matthew Stafford is Over 0.5 on Interceptions Thrown (Alt).
On Interceptions Thrown (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 57%, implied 47%, edge +10.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:56AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Interceptions Thrown (Alt)
Over 0.5
+115 (2.15) · $100→$215
+10.8% Edge
San Francisco 49ers
@
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles · Indoor
Fri 11 Sep, 12:35AM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Stafford once again didn't play any offensive snaps during the preseason.
updated Sep 1, 5:03PM UTC · 8d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
View results →
How often this wins
57 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 57.3% · the book's price implies 46.5% · gap +10.8%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Interceptions Thrown (Alt) | 57.3% | 57.3% | 46.5% | 2.15 | +10.8% |
Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?
The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.
Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime
Matthew Stafford (LA) Over 0.5 Player pass interceptions alternate (+115)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Los Angeles Rams play San Francisco 49ers in the NFL on Friday 11 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Matthew Stafford (LA) Over 0.5 Player pass interceptions alternate. It was priced at +115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Unlock the full breakdown
See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.
Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime
Matthew Stafford's lines for Fri 11 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Interceptions Thrown (Alt) 0.5
Matthew Stafford's interceptions thrown (alt) line is 0.5.
Anytime TD
Matthew Stafford's anytime td line is posted.
Interceptions Thrown (Alt) 1.5
Matthew Stafford's interceptions thrown (alt) line is 1.5.
Passing Touchdowns 1.5
Matthew Stafford's passing touchdowns line is 1.5.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Matthew Stafford's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Rushing Yards 0.5
+154 best over price · 6 books
Matthew Stafford's rushing yards line is 0.5, best over price +154 across 6 books.
Betting angles
2 markets liveRushing YardsNext game · San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles RamsU 0.5 -161 0.5posted line · rushing yds
Matthew Stafford has a live NFL rushing yards market for San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams: under 0.5 rushing yds priced at -161.
Anytime TDNext game · San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles RamsAnytime TD +2200
Matthew Stafford has a live NFL anytime td market for San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams priced at +2200.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
See the complete track record
Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.
Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime
Matthew Stafford (LA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Matthew Stafford is Over 0.5 on Interceptions Thrown (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.8% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams on Friday 11 September at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.