Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kyren Williams is Over 49.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 65%, implied 61%, edge +3.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards (Alt)
Over 49.5
-159 (1.63) · $100→$163
+3.2% Edge
San Francisco 49ers
@
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles · Indoor
Fri 11 Sep, 12:35AM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
The Athletic's Nate Atkins believes the Rams will continue to use a backfield timeshare with Williams and Blake Corum this season.
updated Sep 1, 5:15PM UTC · 8d old
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How often this wins
65 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 64.5% · the book's price implies 61.4% · gap +3.2%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards (Alt) | 64.5% | 64.5% | 61.4% | 1.63 | +3.2% |
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Kyren Williams (LA) Over 49.5 Player rush yds alternate (-159)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Los Angeles Rams play San Francisco 49ers in the NFL on Friday 11 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kyren Williams (LA) Over 49.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Kyren Williams's lines for Fri 11 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 49.5
Kyren Williams's rushing yards (alt) line is 49.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5
Kyren Williams's rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 29.5
Kyren Williams's rushing yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 24.5
Kyren Williams's rushing yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 19.5
Kyren Williams's rushing yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Receiving Yards 11.5
-112 best over price · 2 books
Kyren Williams's receiving yards line is 11.5, best over price -112 across 2 books.
Receiving Yards 10.5
-109 best over price · 9 books
Kyren Williams's receiving yards line is 10.5, best over price -109 across 9 books.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Kyren Williams's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Betting angles
3 markets liveReceiving YardsNext game · San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles RamsU 11.5 -112 11.5posted line · receiving yds
Kyren Williams has a live NFL receiving yards market for San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams: under 11.5 receiving yds priced at -112.
ReceptionsNext game · San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles RamsU 1.5 +121 1.5posted line · receptions
Kyren Williams has a live NFL receptions market for San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams: under 1.5 receptions priced at +121.
Rushing YardsNext game · San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles RamsO 39.5 -303 39.5posted line · rushing yds
Kyren Williams has a live NFL rushing yards market for San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams: over 39.5 rushing yds priced at -303.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Kyren Williams (LA) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kyren Williams is Over 49.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a slight edge of +3.2% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams on Friday 11 September at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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