Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Justin Herbert is Over 3.5 on Rushing Attempts (Alt).
On Rushing Attempts (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 92 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 92%, implied 76%, edge +15.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Attempts (Alt)
Over 3.5
-323 (1.31) · $100→$131
+15.5% Edge
Arizona Cardinals
@
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 8:25PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Herbert completed two of three passes for 74 yards and a touchdown, rushed once for no gain and lost a fumble in the Chargers' 20-18 preseason loss to the Rams on Thursday.
updated Aug 28, 5:47AM UTC · 12d old
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How often this wins
92 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 91.8% · the book's price implies 76.3% · gap +15.5%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Attempts (Alt) | 91.8% | 91.8% | 76.3% | 1.31 | +15.5% |
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Justin Herbert (LAC) Over 3.5 Player rush attempts alternate (-323)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Los Angeles Chargers play Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Justin Herbert (LAC) Over 3.5 Player rush attempts alternate. It was priced at -323 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Justin Herbert's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Rushing Attempts (Alt) 3.5
Justin Herbert's rushing attempts (alt) line is 3.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 149.5
Justin Herbert's passing yards (alt) line is 149.5.
Interceptions Thrown (Alt) 1.5
Justin Herbert's interceptions thrown (alt) line is 1.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 4.5
Justin Herbert's rushing yards (alt) line is 4.5.
Rushing Yards 21.5
-109 best over price · 7 books
Justin Herbert's rushing yards line is 21.5, best over price -109 across 7 books.
Rushing Attempts (Alt) 9.5
Justin Herbert's rushing attempts (alt) line is 9.5.
Interceptions Thrown (Alt) 0.5
Justin Herbert's interceptions thrown (alt) line is 0.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 19.5
-120 best over price · 1 book
Justin Herbert's rushing yards (alt) line is 19.5, best over price -120 across 1 book.
Betting angles
3 markets liveRushing YardsNext game · Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles ChargersO 9.5 -400 9.5posted line · rushing yds
Justin Herbert has a live NFL rushing yards market for Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers: over 9.5 rushing yds priced at -400.
Passing YardsNext game · Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles ChargersO 149.5 -1250
149.5posted line · passing yds
Justin Herbert has a live NFL passing yards market for Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers: over 149.5 passing yds priced at -1250.
Anytime TDNext game · Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles ChargersAnytime TD +475
Justin Herbert has a live NFL anytime td market for Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers priced at +475.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Justin Herbert (LAC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Justin Herbert is Over 3.5 on Rushing Attempts (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.5% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday 13 September at Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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