Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jonathan Taylor is Over 69.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt).
On Rushing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 67%, implied 61%, edge +6.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:54AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards (Alt)
Over 69.5
-156 (1.64) · $100→$164
+6.3% Edge
Baltimore Ravens
@
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Taylor was rested for the Colts' 25-16 loss to the Lions in Saturday's preseason finale.
updated Sep 2, 8:27PM UTC · 7d old
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How often this wins
67 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 67.3% · the book's price implies 61.0% · gap +6.3%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards (Alt) | 67.3% | 67.3% | 61.0% | 1.64 | +6.3% |
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Jonathan Taylor (IND) Over 69.5 Player rush yds alternate (-156)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Indianapolis Colts play Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jonathan Taylor (IND) Over 69.5 Player rush yds alternate. It was priced at -156 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Jonathan Taylor's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 69.5
Jonathan Taylor's rushing yards (alt) line is 69.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 59.5
Jonathan Taylor's rushing yards (alt) line is 59.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 49.5
Jonathan Taylor's rushing yards (alt) line is 49.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 39.5
Jonathan Taylor's rushing yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 29.5
Jonathan Taylor's rushing yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Receptions 2.5
-149 best over price · 12 books
Jonathan Taylor's receptions line is 2.5, best over price -149 across 12 books.
Receiving Yards 18.5
-114 best over price · 1 book
Jonathan Taylor's receiving yards line is 18.5, best over price -114 across 1 book.
Receiving Yards 16.5
-112 best over price · 3 books
Jonathan Taylor's receiving yards line is 16.5, best over price -112 across 3 books.
Betting angles
3 markets liveRushing YardsNext game · Baltimore RavensO 49.5 -435 49.5posted line · rushing yds
Jonathan Taylor has a live NFL rushing yards market for Baltimore Ravens: over 49.5 rushing yds priced at -435.
Receiving YardsNext game · Baltimore RavensU 18.5 -114 18.5posted line · receiving yds
Jonathan Taylor has a live NFL receiving yards market for Baltimore Ravens: under 18.5 receiving yds priced at -114.
ReceptionsNext game · Baltimore RavensU 2.5 +122 2.5posted line · receptions
Jonathan Taylor has a live NFL receptions market for Baltimore Ravens: under 2.5 receptions priced at +122.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Jonathan Taylor (IND) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jonathan Taylor is Over 69.5 on Rushing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.3% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts on Sunday 13 September at Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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