John Bates (WAS) Under 1.5 Receptions (-118)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
This bet on John Bates for Under 1.5 in the 'player receptions' market is statistically supported by his recent performance and hit rate trending. Bates' home hit rate in the last 3 games is only 1/3, indicating he's not as effective at home. Despite his overall hit rate being 29/43, it is crucial to note that his current home hit streak is 0, suggesting he's in a slump when playing at home. His overall current hit streak is just 1, which doesn't pledge much confidence. Also, while he has a strong hit rate against Philadelphia (4/5 overall and 3/3 at home), these are based on small sample sizes and may not accurately reflect his current form. The model edge of 0.189970466813292 also suggests the under 1.5 outcome is more likely. Thus, based on these data, the under 1.5 receptions for Bates seems a reasonable bet.