Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jared Wiley is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns.
On Total Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 2 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 2%, implied 1%, edge +1.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:54AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Total Touchdowns
Over 1.5
+18000 (181.00) · $100→$18,100
+1.3% Edge
Denver Broncos
@
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City · Indoor
Tue 15 Sep, 12:15AM
No injury designationSeason pending
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
2 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 1.8% · the book's price implies 0.6% · gap +1.3%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Total Touchdowns | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 181.00 | +1.3% |
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Jared Wiley (KC) Over 1.5 Player tds over (+18000)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Kansas City Chiefs play Denver Broncos in the NFL on Tuesday 15 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jared Wiley (KC) Over 1.5 Player tds over. It was priced at +18000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1810 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Jared Wiley's lines for Tue 15 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Total Touchdowns 1.5
Jared Wiley's total touchdowns line is 1.5.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Jared Wiley's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Anytime TD
Jared Wiley's anytime td line is posted.
Betting angles
1 market liveAnytime TDNext game · Denver Broncos @ Kansas City ChiefsAnytime TD +1700
Jared Wiley has a live NFL anytime td market for Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs priced at +1700.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Jared Wiley (KC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jared Wiley is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs on Tuesday 15 September at Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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