Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jameson Williams is Over 14.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 99 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 99%, implied 94%, edge +5.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 14.5
-1667 (1.06) · $100→$106
+5.7% Edge
New Orleans Saints
@
Detroit Lions
Detroit · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Williams concluded Lions training camp on a positive note Thursday, connecting with quarterback Jared Goff on a number of impressive contested catches throughout the day, Nolan Bianchi of The Detroit News reports.
updated Sep 2, 3:51PM UTC · 7d old
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How often this wins
99 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 99.0% · the book's price implies 94.3% · gap +5.7%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 99.0% | 99.0% | 94.3% | 1.06 | +5.7% |
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Jameson Williams (DET) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-1667)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Detroit Lions play New Orleans Saints in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jameson Williams (DET) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -1667 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $10.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Jameson Williams's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Jameson Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Anytime TD
+185 best over price · 13 books
Jameson Williams's anytime td line is posted, best over price +185 across 13 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Jameson Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Jameson Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Jameson Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Receptions (Alt) 1.5
-143 best over price · 12 books
Jameson Williams's receptions (alt) line is 1.5, best over price -143 across 12 books.
Receptions 3.5
-143 best over price · 12 books
Jameson Williams's receptions line is 3.5, best over price -143 across 12 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 109.5
Jameson Williams's receiving yards (alt) line is 109.5.
Betting angles
3 markets liveReceptionsNext game · New Orleans SaintsO 5.5 +293 5.5posted line · receptions
Jameson Williams has a live NFL receptions market for New Orleans Saints: over 5.5 receptions priced at +293.
Receiving YardsNext game · New Orleans SaintsO 29.5 -500 29.5posted line · receiving yds
Jameson Williams has a live NFL receiving yards market for New Orleans Saints: over 29.5 receiving yds priced at -500.
Anytime TDNext game · New Orleans SaintsAnytime TD +180
Jameson Williams has a live NFL anytime td market for New Orleans Saints priced at +180.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Jameson Williams (DET) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jameson Williams is Over 14.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.7% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions on Sunday 13 September at Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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