Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Hurts is Under 1.5 on Passing Touchdowns.
On Passing Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 60%, implied 58%, edge +1.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:56AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Passing Touchdowns
Under 1.5
-141 (1.71) · $100→$171
+1.3% Edge
Washington Commanders
@
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 8:25PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Eagles general manager Howie Roseman said Tuesday that Hurts has "embraced" the new offense and is "excited about it" headed into the season, John Clark of NBC Sports Philadelphia reports.
updated Sep 1, 4:26PM UTC · 8d old
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
60 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 59.8% · the book's price implies 58.5% · gap +1.3%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Passing Touchdowns | 59.8% | 59.8% | 58.5% | 1.83 | +1.3% |
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Jalen Hurts (PHI) Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-141)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Philadelphia Eagles play Washington Commanders in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jalen Hurts (PHI) Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns. It was priced at -141 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Jalen Hurts's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Passing Touchdowns 1.5
Jalen Hurts's passing touchdowns line is 1.5.
Pass Completions 18.5
Jalen Hurts's pass completions line is 18.5.
Pass Attempts 28.5
Jalen Hurts's pass attempts line is 28.5.
Pass + Rush Yards 243.5
Jalen Hurts's pass + rush yards line is 243.5.
Interceptions Thrown (Alt) 0.5
Jalen Hurts's interceptions thrown (alt) line is 0.5.
Rushing Yards 28.5
-108 best over price · 7 books
Jalen Hurts's rushing yards line is 28.5, best over price -108 across 7 books.
Rushing Attempts 6.5
Jalen Hurts's rushing attempts line is 6.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 189.5
Jalen Hurts's passing yards (alt) line is 189.5.
Betting angles
2 markets liveRushing YardsNext game · Washington CommandersU 28.5 -114 28.5posted line · rushing yds
Jalen Hurts has a live NFL rushing yards market for Washington Commanders: under 28.5 rushing yds priced at -114.
Passing YardsNext game · Washington CommandersU 214.5 -114
214.5posted line · passing yds
Jalen Hurts has a live NFL passing yards market for Washington Commanders: under 214.5 passing yds priced at -114.
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1
Jalen Hurts's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Jalen Hurts (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen Hurts is Under 1.5 on Passing Touchdowns. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday 13 September at Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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