Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ja'Marr Chase is Over 39.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 99 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 99%, implied 92%, edge +8.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 39.5
-1111 (1.09) · $100→$109
+8.3% Edge
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
@
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Chase (knee) was a full participant in Wednesday's practice, Paul Dehner of The Athletic reports.
updated Sep 9, 8:52PM UTC
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How often this wins
99 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 99.0% · the book's price implies 91.7% · gap +8.3%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 99.0% | 99.0% | 91.7% | 1.09 | +8.3% |
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Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) Over 39.5 Player reception yds alternate (-1111)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Cincinnati Bengals play Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) Over 39.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -1111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $10.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Ja'Marr Chase's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Ja'Marr Chase's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Ja'Marr Chase's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Receptions (Alt) 10.5
+117 best over price · 12 books
Ja'Marr Chase's receptions (alt) line is 10.5, best over price +117 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 9.5
+117 best over price · 12 books
Ja'Marr Chase's receptions (alt) line is 9.5, best over price +117 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 8.5
+117 best over price · 12 books
Ja'Marr Chase's receptions (alt) line is 8.5, best over price +117 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 7.5
+117 best over price · 12 books
Ja'Marr Chase's receptions (alt) line is 7.5, best over price +117 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 6.5
+117 best over price · 12 books
Ja'Marr Chase's receptions (alt) line is 6.5, best over price +117 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 5.5
+117 best over price · 12 books
Ja'Marr Chase's receptions (alt) line is 5.5, best over price +117 across 12 books.
Betting angles
2 markets liveReceptionsNext game · Tampa Bay BuccaneersO 7.5 +116 7.5posted line · receptions
Ja'Marr Chase has a live NFL receptions market for Tampa Bay Buccaneers: over 7.5 receptions priced at +116.
Receiving YardsNext game · Tampa Bay BuccaneersO 49.5 -625 49.5posted line · receiving yds
Ja'Marr Chase has a live NFL receiving yards market for Tampa Bay Buccaneers: over 49.5 receiving yds priced at -625.
Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2
Ja'Marr Chase's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
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Ja'Marr Chase (CIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ja'Marr Chase is Over 39.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.3% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday 13 September at Cincinnati. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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