Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for C.J. Stroud is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns.
On Total Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 2 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 2%, implied 1%, edge +1.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Total Touchdowns
Over 1.5
+15000 (151.00) · $100→$15,100
+1.3% Edge
Buffalo Bills
@
Houston Texans
Houston · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Stroud heads into the regular season with Nico Collins, Xavier Hutchinson, Jaylin Noel (hamstring) and Kayshon Boutte as his top wide receivers, while Jonathan M. Alexander of the Houston Chronicle reports that Tank Dell (knee) will begin the season on IR with a designation to return.
updated Sep 3, 4:01PM UTC · 6d old
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
2 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 1.9% · the book's price implies 0.7% · gap +1.3%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Total Touchdowns | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 151.00 | +1.3% |
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C.J. Stroud (HOU) Over 1.5 Player tds over (+15000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Houston Texans play Buffalo Bills in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is C.J. Stroud (HOU) Over 1.5 Player tds over. It was priced at +15000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1510 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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C.J. Stroud's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Total Touchdowns 1.5
C.J. Stroud's total touchdowns line is 1.5.
Passing Touchdowns 1.5
C.J. Stroud's passing touchdowns line is 1.5.
Last Touchdown Scorer
C.J. Stroud's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Anytime TD
+850 best over price · 13 books
C.J. Stroud's anytime td line is posted, best over price +850 across 13 books.
Passing Yards (Alt) 124.5
C.J. Stroud's passing yards (alt) line is 124.5.
Betting angles
2 markets livePassing YardsNext game · Buffalo BillsO 124.5 -1667
124.5posted line · passing yds
C.J. Stroud has a live NFL passing yards market for Buffalo Bills: over 124.5 passing yds priced at -1667.
Anytime TDNext game · Buffalo BillsAnytime TD +850
C.J. Stroud has a live NFL anytime td market for Buffalo Bills priced at +850.
Rushing Yards10 lines trackedNo line posted 9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range9.5–24.5model over56%tips tracked10
C.J. Stroud's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 10 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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C.J. Stroud (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for C.J. Stroud is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans on Sunday 13 September at Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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