Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Chase Brown is Under 58.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 68%, implied 53%, edge +14.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:54AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards
Under 58.5
-111 (1.90) · $100→$190
+14.9% Edge
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
@
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Brown is looking forward to an elevated role in the Bengals offense in 2026, Landon Belote of SI.com reports.
updated Sep 2, 6:42PM UTC · 7d old
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How often this wins
68 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 67.6% · the book's price implies 52.6% · gap +14.9%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Rushing Yards | 67.6% | 67.6% | 52.6% | 2.01 | +14.9% |
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Chase Brown (CIN) Under 58.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Cincinnati Bengals play Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Chase Brown (CIN) Under 58.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.00 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Chase Brown's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Rushing Yards 58.5
-110 best over price · 7 books
Chase Brown's rushing yards line is 58.5, best over price -110 across 7 books.
Rushing Yards 57.5
-114 best over price · 3 books
Chase Brown's rushing yards line is 57.5, best over price -114 across 3 books.
Receptions (Alt) 4.5
-108 best over price · 12 books
Chase Brown's receptions (alt) line is 4.5, best over price -108 across 12 books.
Receptions (Alt) 3.5
-108 best over price · 12 books
Chase Brown's receptions (alt) line is 3.5, best over price -108 across 12 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
-115 best over price · 1 book
Chase Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5, best over price -115 across 1 book.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 23.5
-114 best over price · 6 books
Chase Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 23.5, best over price -114 across 6 books.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Chase Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Chase Brown's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Betting angles
4 markets liveRushing YardsNext game · Tampa Bay BuccaneersU 59.5 -114 59.5posted line · rushing yds
Chase Brown has a live NFL rushing yards market for Tampa Bay Buccaneers: under 59.5 rushing yds priced at -114.
ReceptionsNext game · Tampa Bay BuccaneersO 3.5 -108 3.5posted line · receptions
Chase Brown has a live NFL receptions market for Tampa Bay Buccaneers: over 3.5 receptions priced at -108.
Receiving YardsNext game · Tampa Bay BuccaneersO 14.5 -196 14.5posted line · receiving yds
Chase Brown has a live NFL receiving yards market for Tampa Bay Buccaneers: over 14.5 receiving yds priced at -196.
Anytime TDNext game · Tampa Bay BuccaneersAnytime TD -125
Chase Brown has a live NFL anytime td market for Tampa Bay Buccaneers priced at -125.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Chase Brown (CIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Chase Brown is Under 58.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.9% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday 13 September at Cincinnati. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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