Cedric Tillman (CLE) Under 1.5 Receptions (-149)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Cedric Tillman to have under 1.5 receptions in the Cleveland Browns vs Buffalo Bills game is backed by a number of factors. Firstly, Tillman's hit rate, the ratio of games in which he's had 1.5 or fewer receptions, has been consistently high. His overall hit rate is 13/29 (44.8%), while his home hit rate is 8/17 (47%). Furthermore, his recent performance shows an even stronger trend, with a hit rate of 3/3 in the last three games and 2/3 at home. His current hit streaks are also promising, standing at three overall and two at home. This suggests that Tillman is in a pattern of catching fewer passes. Additionally, the model predicts a 14.6% edge in betting on this outcome, indicating a high probability of it occurring. This combination of factors makes the 'Under 1.5' bet a solid choice.