Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alec Pierce is Over 39.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt).
On Receiving Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 78%, implied 62%, edge +16.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Receiving Yards (Alt)
Over 39.5
-161 (1.62) · $100→$162
+16.6% Edge
Baltimore Ravens
@
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
QUESTIONABLESeason pending
Pierce was a limited participant in Wednesday's practice due to a heel injury.
updated Sep 9, 8:48PM UTC
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How often this wins
78 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 78.3% · the book's price implies 61.7% · gap +16.6%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Receiving Yards (Alt) | 78.3% | 78.3% | 61.7% | 1.62 | +16.6% |
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Alec Pierce (IND) Over 39.5 Player reception yds alternate (-161)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Indianapolis Colts play Baltimore Ravens in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Alec Pierce (IND) Over 39.5 Player reception yds alternate. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.20 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Alec Pierce's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 39.5
Questionable
Alec Pierce's receiving yards (alt) line is 39.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 29.5
Questionable
Alec Pierce's receiving yards (alt) line is 29.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 24.5
Questionable
Alec Pierce's receiving yards (alt) line is 24.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 19.5
Questionable
Alec Pierce's receiving yards (alt) line is 19.5.
Total Touchdowns 1.5
Questionable
Alec Pierce's total touchdowns line is 1.5.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 49.5
-105 best over price · 1 bookQuestionable
Alec Pierce's receiving yards (alt) line is 49.5, best over price -105 across 1 book.
Receiving Yards (Alt) 14.5
Questionable
Alec Pierce's receiving yards (alt) line is 14.5.
Receiving Yards 46.5
-114 best over price · 2 booksQuestionable
Alec Pierce's receiving yards line is 46.5, best over price -114 across 2 books.
Betting angles
1 market liveReceiving YardsNext game · Baltimore RavensO 24.5 -345 24.5posted line · receiving yds
Alec Pierce has a live NFL receiving yards market for Baltimore Ravens: over 24.5 receiving yds priced at -345.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Alec Pierce (IND) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alec Pierce is Over 39.5 on Receiving Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.6% on this pick. Their next game is Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts on Sunday 13 September at Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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