Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Aaron Rodgers is Over 1.5 on Interceptions Thrown (Alt).
On Interceptions Thrown (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 17 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 17%, implied 11%, edge +6.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 3:55AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Interceptions Thrown (Alt)
Over 1.5
+850 (9.50) · $100→$950
+6.4% Edge
Atlanta Falcons
@
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh · Indoor
Sun 13 Sep, 5:00PM
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Rodgers is expected to have WRs DK Metcalf (undisclosed) and Michael Pittman (hamstring) available Week 1 against the Falcons on Sunday, Sept. 13, Brooke Pryor of ESPN.com reports.
updated Sep 4, 4:06AM UTC · 5d old
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How often this wins
17 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 16.9% · the book's price implies 10.5% · gap +6.4%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Interceptions Thrown (Alt) | 16.9% | 16.9% | 10.5% | 9.50 | +6.4% |
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Aaron Rodgers (PIT) Over 1.5 Player pass interceptions alternate (+850)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Pittsburgh Steelers play Atlanta Falcons in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Aaron Rodgers (PIT) Over 1.5 Player pass interceptions alternate. It was priced at +850 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $95 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Aaron Rodgers's lines for Sun 13 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Interceptions Thrown (Alt) 1.5
Aaron Rodgers's interceptions thrown (alt) line is 1.5.
Interceptions Thrown (Alt) 0.5
Aaron Rodgers's interceptions thrown (alt) line is 0.5.
Anytime TD
Aaron Rodgers's anytime td line is posted.
Last Touchdown Scorer
Aaron Rodgers's last touchdown scorer line is posted.
Passing Yards (Alt) 149.5
Aaron Rodgers's passing yards (alt) line is 149.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 124.5
Aaron Rodgers's passing yards (alt) line is 124.5.
Passing Yards 210.5
-114 best over price · 1 book
Aaron Rodgers's passing yards line is 210.5, best over price -114 across 1 book.
Rushing Yards (Alt) 0.5
-108 best over price · 5 books
Aaron Rodgers's rushing yards (alt) line is 0.5, best over price -108 across 5 books.
Betting angles
3 markets liveRushing YardsNext game · Atlanta FalconsO 0.5 -108 0.5posted line · rushing yds
Aaron Rodgers has a live NFL rushing yards market for Atlanta Falcons: over 0.5 rushing yds priced at -108.
Passing YardsNext game · Atlanta FalconsU 210.5 -114
210.5posted line · passing yds
Aaron Rodgers has a live NFL passing yards market for Atlanta Falcons: under 210.5 passing yds priced at -114.
Anytime TDNext game · Atlanta FalconsAnytime TD +1500
Aaron Rodgers has a live NFL anytime td market for Atlanta Falcons priced at +1500.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Aaron Rodgers (PIT) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Aaron Rodgers is Over 1.5 on Interceptions Thrown (Alt). The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.4% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday 13 September at Pittsburgh. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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