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The latest Bet Better model pick for Zion Williamson is Over 26.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 68%, implied 53%, edge +15.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:22AM UTC
NBA

Zion Williamson

New Orleans Pelicans

+15.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 26.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+15.3% Edge
New Orleans Pelicans @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI · Indoor
Thu 26 Mar, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
68 in 100
Predicted
29.8 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 68.5% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +15.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs68.5%53.2%1.46+15.3%

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AI Analysis

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Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 26.5 Points + Rebounds (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Zion Williamson, the numbers tell a compelling story for his matchup against the Detroit Pistons. Averaging 21.8 points and 6.4 rebounds away from home in his last five games, Zion is heating up. Against the Pistons, he has consistently upped his game, dropping an impressive 31 points and snagging 7.5 boards when playing in their arena. What's more, his recent trend shows a solid 3-out-of-5 hit rate on this line in away games. With an expected stat value of nearly 30, it feels like Zion is primed to exceed that 26.5 mark. The Pistons might struggle to contain his explosive style, making this a prime spot for him to shine. With his capability to dominate both in scoring and rebounding, betting on Zion to go over 26.5 points plus rebounds seems like a savvy move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Zion Williamson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 30 games in the 2024-25 season, Zion Williamson averaged 24.6 points, 7.2 rebounds and 5.3 assists in 28.5 minutes per game, shooting 56.7% from the field and 23.1% from three-point range.

24.6
PPG
7.2
RPG
5.3
APG
1.2
SPG
0.9
BPG
28.5
MPG
56.7%
FG%
23.1%
3P%

Zion Williamson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Zion Williamson has played 29.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.4
MPG (L5)
24.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Zion Williamson — points hit rate

Zion Williamson has scored over 25.5 points in 51% of 92 career games.

o15.593%
o20.582%
o25.551%
o30.525%

Zion Williamson — home vs away scoring

At home Zion Williamson averages 25.3 points per game; on the road, 24.1. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

25.3
PPG at home
24.1
PPG on the road

Zion Williamson — scoring by opponent

Zion Williamson scores most against the PHX, averaging 28.1 points per game in that matchup.

28.1
PHX
27.0
LAL
25.3
POR
24.8
MIN
24.3
UTAH
23.7
SAC

Zion Williamson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Zion Williamson has averaged 24.7 points, 6.7 rebounds and 6.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
19 Mar@ MIN302958
17 Marvs DET283063
13 Marvs ORL282085
11 Marvs LAC33221012
8 Mar@ HOU282023
6 Marvs HOU3220103
4 Mar@ LAL263746
2 Mar@ UTAH292469
27 Feb@ PHX31271011
25 Febvs SA291863
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts 30.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT
06 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento Kings Pts + Asts 26.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zion Williamson is Over 26.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.3% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons on Thursday 26 March at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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