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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyrese Haliburton is Over 14.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 57%, edge +15.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:23AM UTC
NBA

Tyrese Haliburton

Indiana Pacers

+15.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 14.5 -132 (1.76) · $100→$176
+15.6% Edge
Indiana Pacers @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 22 Jun, 8:00PM
DAY-TO-DAY
The Pacers may opt to slowly bring Haliburton back up to speed as he aims to return from a torn Achilles suffered in Game 7 of the 2025 NBA Finals, Jamal Collier of ESPN reports.
updated Sep 9, 11:48PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
18.0 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.4% · the book's price implies 56.8% · gap +15.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points72.4%—56.8%1.38+15.6%

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AI Analysis

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Tyrese Haliburton (Indiana Pacers) Over 14.5 Points (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Tyrese Haliburton's statistical performance provides strong support for a bet on him exceeding 14.5 points in the upcoming game against the Oklahoma City Thunder. His average over the last five games is 15 points, slightly above the threshold. Importantly, his specific performance against this opponent also points towards a favorable outcome, with an average of 15 points in the last five games against the Thunder. Additionally, his expected stat value of 18.03 indicates that he's anticipated to exceed the 14.5 point mark. Although his average away points are slightly lower at 11.4, his overall and away hit rates of 12 out of the last 19 games demonstrate a consistent ability to surpass the 14.5 point mark. Thus, the data suggests a high probability that Haliburton will score over 14.5 points.

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Pick History & Track Record

Tyrese Haliburton — 2024-25 season averages

Over 83 games in the 2024-25 season, Tyrese Haliburton averaged 18.5 points, 3.8 rebounds and 9.2 assists in 33.7 minutes per game, shooting 47.3% from the field and 38.3% from three-point range.

18.5
PPG
3.8
RPG
9.2
APG
1.3
SPG
0.7
BPG
33.7
MPG
47.3%
FG%
38.3%
3P%

Tyrese Haliburton — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Tyrese Haliburton has played 32.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.8
MPG (L5)
17.4
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Tyrese Haliburton — points hit rate

Tyrese Haliburton has scored over 12.5 points in 55% of 128 career games.

o11.562%
o12.555%
o15.538%
o20.520%

Tyrese Haliburton — home vs away scoring

At home Tyrese Haliburton averages 19.5 points per game; on the road, 17.5. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

19.5
PPG at home
17.5
PPG on the road

Tyrese Haliburton — scoring by opponent

Tyrese Haliburton scores most against the PHI, averaging 20.9 points per game in that matchup.

20.9
PHI
19.7
BKN
19.7
WSH
19.3
MIL
19.1
BOS
19.1
NY

Tyrese Haliburton — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Tyrese Haliburton has averaged 17.5 points, 5.5 rebounds and 9.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 May@ CLE363168
11 Mayvs CLE261155
9 Mayvs CLE30405
6 May@ CLE361994
4 May@ CLE3622313
29 Aprvs MIL422659
27 Apr@ MIL3417815
25 Apr@ MIL3214710
22 Aprvs MIL3521512
19 Aprvs MIL3410712
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tyrese Haliburton (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyrese Haliburton is Over 14.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.6% on this pick. Their next game is Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 22 June at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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