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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Trendon Watford is Under 4.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 61%, edge +10.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
NBA

Trendon Watford

Philadelphia 76ers

+10.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 4.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
+10.5% Edge
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA · Indoor
Mon 23 Mar, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
3.1 Rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 71.9% · the book's price implies 61.3% · gap +10.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds71.9%61.3%1.39+10.5%

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AI Analysis

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Trendon Watford (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 4.5 Rebounds (-159)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Philadelphia 76ers gear up to host the Oklahoma City Thunder, all eyes will be on Trendon Watford's rebounding game. While he's been a solid contributor, recent trends suggest that he might struggle to hit the over on 4.5 boards. In his last five games, he's averaged just 4.2 rebounds, but at home, that number dips slightly to 4. Watford's matchup against the Thunder has been particularly telling; he averages only 3.2 rebounds against them, and that number holds steady when playing in Philadelphia.With a hit rate of under 4.5 in 14 of his last 18 home games, it's clear that he often finds himself on the lower end of the rebounding spectrum. Considering the implied probability is around 61.3%, betting on the under feels like a smart play. If he continues this trend, he'll likely fall short of that 4.5 mark once again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Trendon Watford — 2024-25 season averages

Over 44 games in the 2024-25 season, Trendon Watford averaged 10.2 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists in 20.7 minutes per game, shooting 46.9% from the field and 33.0% from three-point range.

10.2
PPG
3.6
RPG
2.6
APG
0.6
SPG
0.3
BPG
20.7
MPG
46.9%
FG%
33.0%
3P%

Trendon Watford — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Trendon Watford has played 26.0 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

26.0
MPG (L5)
15.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Trendon Watford — home vs away scoring

At home Trendon Watford averages 10.6 points per game; on the road, 9.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

10.6
PPG at home
9.8
PPG on the road

Trendon Watford — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Trendon Watford has averaged 11.7 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Aprvs NY332074
11 Apr@ MIN321584
10 Aprvs ATL20853
8 Aprvs NO232235
6 Aprvs TOR221354
3 Aprvs MIN271155
31 Mar@ DAL24651
29 Mar@ WSH24721
28 Marvs LAC20655
26 Marvs TOR26943
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Trendon Watford (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trendon Watford is Under 4.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.5% on this pick. Their next game is Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia 76ers on Monday 23 March at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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