Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Payton Pritchard is Over 13.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 76%, implied 55%, edge +21.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
NBA

Payton Pritchard

Boston Celtics

+21.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 13.5 -122 (1.82) · $100→$182
+21.2% Edge
Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics
TD Garden, Boston, MA · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 5:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
17.6 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.1% · the book's price implies 54.9% · gap +21.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points76.1%54.9%1.31+21.2%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Payton Pritchard (Boston Celtics) Over 13.5 Points (-122)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Celtics gear up to face the 76ers, all eyes should be on Payton Pritchard. Playing at home, he's been a scoring dynamo lately, averaging a solid 20 points in his last five games at TD Garden. The 76ers might bring defensive intensity, but Pritchard is no stranger to rising to the occasion; he's hit the over on 13.5 points in four of his last five home games. In fact, his recent form shows an impressive average of 17.8 points in the last five outings overall, while he's consistently found ways to exploit matchups, even against tough opponents. With a 21.2% model edge suggesting he could flirt with around 17.6 points, backing Pritchard to go over 13.5 feels like a smart play. This is his moment to shine on the home court, and you can bet he'll seize the opportunity.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Payton Pritchard — 2024-25 season averages

Over 89 games in the 2024-25 season, Payton Pritchard averaged 14.0 points, 3.7 rebounds and 3.2 assists in 28.2 minutes per game, shooting 47.2% from the field and 40.9% from three-point range.

14.0
PPG
3.7
RPG
3.2
APG
0.8
SPG
0.2
BPG
28.2
MPG
47.2%
FG%
40.9%
3P%

Payton Pritchard — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Payton Pritchard has played 25.2 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

25.2
MPG (L5)
13.4
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Payton Pritchard — home vs away scoring

At home Payton Pritchard averages 14.4 points per game; on the road, 13.6. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

14.4
PPG at home
13.6
PPG on the road

Payton Pritchard — scoring by opponent

Payton Pritchard scores most against the CHA, averaging 11.2 points per game in that matchup.

11.2
CHA
11.1
TOR
11.0
DET
10.9
OKC
9.6
WSH
9.3
IND

Payton Pritchard — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Payton Pritchard has averaged 13.7 points, 2.5 rebounds and 1.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 May@ NY201200
10 May@ NY352342
7 Mayvs NY22931
5 Mayvs NY241331
29 Aprvs ORL251031
27 Apr@ ORL26012
25 Apr@ ORL26310
23 Aprvs ORL331430
20 Aprvs ORL251903
13 Aprvs CHA393477
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Payton Pritchard (Boston Celtics) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Payton Pritchard is Over 13.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.2% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics on Sunday 19 April at TD Garden, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.