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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nickeil Alexander-Walker is Over 18.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 78%, implied 52%, edge +25.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:51AM UTC
NBA

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Atlanta Hawks

+25.7% Edge
🔥 19 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 18.5 -110 (1.91) · $100→$191
+25.7% Edge
Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY · Indoor
Tue 21 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
23.8 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 78.0% · the book's price implies 52.4% · gap +25.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs78.0%52.4%1.28+25.7%

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AI Analysis

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Atlanta Hawks) Over 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Nickeil Alexander-Walker's performance, the numbers tell a compelling story that suggests he'll soar past the 18.5 mark in points and rebounds against the Knicks. Over his last five games, he's been a scoring machine, averaging an impressive 26.4 points, complemented by about 3 rebounds. Even on the road, he's managed to keep his scoring sharp at 23.8 points and 4 rebounds. Facing the Hawks, he typically finds a groove, averaging 20.4 points against them, and given his last eight away games, he hasn't just met that threshold-he's hit the over every single time. With an overall hit rate of 19 for 19, there's an undeniable rhythm to his game right now. As he steps onto the court in New York, expect Alexander-Walker to turn this matchup into another highlight reel, exceeding that 18.5 mark with relative ease.

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Pick History & Track Record

Nickeil Alexander-Walker — 2024-25 season averages

Over 91 games in the 2024-25 season, Nickeil Alexander-Walker averaged 9.2 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.7 assists in 24.7 minutes per game, shooting 43.1% from the field and 37.5% from three-point range.

9.2
PPG
3.1
RPG
2.7
APG
0.6
SPG
0.4
BPG
24.7
MPG
43.1%
FG%
37.5%
3P%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Nickeil Alexander-Walker has played 20.0 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

20.0
MPG (L5)
8.6
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Nickeil Alexander-Walker — points hit rate

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has scored over 11.5 points in 39% of 162 career games.

o11.539%
o12.535%
o15.517%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker — home vs away scoring

At home Nickeil Alexander-Walker averages 9.0 points per game; on the road, 9.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

9.0
PPG at home
9.4
PPG on the road

Nickeil Alexander-Walker — scoring by opponent

Nickeil Alexander-Walker scores most against the OKC, averaging 11.4 points per game in that matchup.

11.4
OKC
10.7
UTAH
9.3
LAC
9.1
DEN
8.4
POR
8.3
PHX

Nickeil Alexander-Walker — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Nickeil Alexander-Walker has averaged 7.2 points, 1.9 rebounds and 2.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 May@ GS171322
10 May@ GS18024
8 Mayvs GS262023
6 Mayvs GS14000
30 Apr@ LAL251013
27 Aprvs LAL12510
25 Aprvs LAL14432
22 Apr@ LAL29423
19 Apr@ LAL20713
13 Aprvs UTAH33957
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Nickeil Alexander-Walker (Atlanta Hawks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Nickeil Alexander-Walker is currently on a 19-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Nickeil Alexander-Walker is Over 18.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +25.7% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks on Tuesday 21 April at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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