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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mitchell Robinson is Over 8.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 69 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 69%, implied 51%, edge +18.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:44AM UTC
NBA

Mitchell Robinson

New York Knicks

+18.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 8.5 -104 (1.96) · $100→$196
+18.0% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
69 in 100
Predicted
11.9 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 69.0% · the book's price implies 51.0% · gap +18.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs69.0%51.0%1.45+18.0%

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AI Analysis

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Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) Over 8.5 Points + Rebounds (-104)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Mitchell Robinson is poised to make a significant impact in tonight's matchup against the San Antonio Spurs, and betting on him to go over 8.5 points and rebounds feels like a solid move. While his recent averages might suggest a quieter performance-just 4.8 points and 5.6 rebounds over the last five games-there's more to the story. When playing away, he's been notably more effective, averaging 5 points and 5.6 rebounds, and his history against the Spurs reveals a trend where he tends to elevate his game. In fact, his last five outings against them saw him averaging 4.6 rebounds and scoring better when on the road. Plus, with a hit rate of 12 out of his last 16 away games, Robinson is clearly comfortable in enemy territory. With his expected stat value pointing towards nearly 12, this bet carries a lot of promise.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 4 of last 5(80%)

Mitchell Robinson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 27 games in the 2024-25 season, Mitchell Robinson averaged 4.7 points, 6.1 rebounds and 0.6 assists in 17.6 minutes per game, shooting 61.2% from the field.

4.7
PPG
6.1
RPG
0.6
APG
0.9
SPG
0.8
BPG
17.6
MPG
61.2%
FG%

Mitchell Robinson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Mitchell Robinson has played 20.0 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

20.0
MPG (L5)
4.0
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Mitchell Robinson — points hit rate

Mitchell Robinson has scored over 11.5 points in 23% of 231 career games.

o11.523%
o12.518%
o15.510%

Mitchell Robinson — home vs away scoring

At home Mitchell Robinson averages 5.7 points per game; on the road, 3.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

5.7
PPG at home
3.7
PPG on the road

Mitchell Robinson — scoring by opponent

Mitchell Robinson scores most against the ORL, averaging 9.5 points per game in that matchup.

9.5
ORL
8.8
ATL
8.7
CHA
8.5
BKN
8.0
WSH
7.9
CHI

Mitchell Robinson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Mitchell Robinson has averaged 4.1 points, 6.5 rebounds and 0.4 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mayvs BOS25482
10 Mayvs BOS19681
7 May@ BOS22680
5 May@ BOS21370
1 May@ DET13130
29 Aprvs DET2313110
27 Apr@ DET9030
24 Apr@ DET16240
21 Aprvs DET20071
19 Aprvs DET18660
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 8.5 Over -104 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 7.5 Over -132 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 9.5 Over +136 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs Pending
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs Pending
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mitchell Robinson is Over 8.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.0% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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