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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Micah Potter is Under 11.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 51%, edge +21.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:23AM UTC
NBA

Micah Potter

Indiana Pacers

+21.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 11.5 -102 (1.98) · $100→$198
+21.8% Edge
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN · Indoor
Tue 7 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
8.1 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.3% · the book's price implies 50.5% · gap +21.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points72.3%50.5%1.38+21.8%

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AI Analysis

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Micah Potter (Indiana Pacers) Under 11.5 Points (-102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Indiana Pacers gear up to face the Minnesota Timberwolves, all eyes will be on Micah Potter-but not for the reasons you might think. While he's had a decent scoring average of 13.4 points over his last five games, the reality is that he's been far less prolific at home, managing only 9.6 points in that same stretch. Digging deeper, his performances against the Timberwolves have been particularly uneventful, with just 2 points per game in their past encounters, both home and away. That's a stark contrast to the 11.5 points we need him to hit for the over. With a hit rate of 9 out of 12 in recent games, Potter has shown he can score, but the numbers simply don't support a big night against this particular opponent. Betting the under on Potter's points feels like a savvy play as he struggles to find his rhythm at home.

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Pick History & Track Record

Micah Potter — 2024-25 season averages

Over 38 games in the 2024-25 season, Micah Potter averaged 4.3 points, 4.3 rebounds and 0.8 assists in 18.5 minutes per game, shooting 42.2% from the field and 31.6% from three-point range.

4.3
PPG
4.3
RPG
0.8
APG
0.4
SPG
0.4
BPG
18.5
MPG
42.2%
FG%
31.6%
3P%

Micah Potter — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Micah Potter has played 24.4 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

24.4
MPG (L5)
4.6
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Micah Potter — home vs away scoring

At home Micah Potter averages 3.8 points per game; on the road, 4.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

3.8
PPG at home
4.8
PPG on the road

Micah Potter — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Micah Potter has averaged 4.3 points, 4.8 rebounds and 0.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Apr@ MIN29754
11 Aprvs OKC323100
9 Aprvs POR27430
6 Apr@ ATL10020
4 Apr@ IND24971
21 Marvs BOS23751
19 Marvs WSH15031
17 Marvs CHI23271
9 Mar@ PHI16920
7 Mar@ TOR13240
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Micah Potter (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Micah Potter is Under 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.8% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers on Tuesday 7 April at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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