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The latest Bet Better model pick for Kris Dunn is Under 11.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 67 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 67%, implied 57%, edge +10.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:19AM UTC
NBA

Kris Dunn

LA Clippers

+10.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 11.5 -132 (1.76) · $100→$176
+10.3% Edge
Los Angeles Clippers @ New Orleans Pelicans
Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA · Indoor
Thu 19 Mar, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
67 in 100
Predicted
8.4 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 67.1% · the book's price implies 56.8% · gap +10.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs67.1%—56.8%1.49+10.3%

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AI Analysis

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Kris Dunn (LA Clippers) Under 11.5 Points + Rebounds (-132)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the New Orleans Pelicans gear up to face the Los Angeles Clippers, Kris Dunn's recent performance suggests a solid opportunity to bet the under on his combined points and rebounds, currently set at 11.5. Over his last five games, Dunn has averaged just 5.8 points and 3 rebounds, well below this threshold, and when looking at his home averages, the numbers dip even further to 7.4 points and 2.4 rebounds. Against the Clippers, he's clocked in 8.6 points and 2.4 rebounds lately, which still falls short of this mark. With Dunn's hit rate reflecting only three out of his last four games going over, it's clear he's struggling to find his rhythm. Given the Clippers' ability to stifle opposing guards, betting the under here feels like a prudent move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Kris Dunn — 2024-25 season averages

Over 81 games in the 2024-25 season, Kris Dunn averaged 6.4 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.7 assists in 23.9 minutes per game, shooting 43.5% from the field and 33.7% from three-point range.

6.4
PPG
3.4
RPG
2.7
APG
1.7
SPG
0.4
BPG
23.9
MPG
43.5%
FG%
33.7%
3P%

Kris Dunn — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Kris Dunn has played 18.8 minutes per game and started 80% of them.

18.8
MPG (L5)
5.8
PPG (L5)
80%
Started

Kris Dunn — points hit rate

Kris Dunn has scored over 11.5 points in 25% of 257 career games.

o11.525%
o12.523%
o15.513%

Kris Dunn — home vs away scoring

At home Kris Dunn averages 5.9 points per game; on the road, 6.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

5.9
PPG at home
6.9
PPG on the road

Kris Dunn — scoring by opponent

Kris Dunn scores most against the LAL, averaging 10.3 points per game in that matchup.

10.3
LAL
10.3
SA
9.8
NO
9.8
BKN
9.2
HOU
9.2
OKC

Kris Dunn — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Kris Dunn has averaged 6.8 points, 2.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
3 May@ DEN16311
1 Mayvs DEN10202
29 Apr@ DEN251502
26 Aprvs DEN21361
24 Aprvs DEN22680
21 Apr@ DEN29562
19 Apr@ DEN311031
13 Apr@ GS351116
11 Apr@ SAC22420
9 Aprvs HOU31923
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Kris Dunn (LA Clippers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kris Dunn is Under 11.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.3% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday 19 March at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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