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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Josh Hart is Under 11.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 96 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 96%, implied 85%, edge +10.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
NBA

Josh Hart

New York Knicks

+10.6% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 11.5 -588 (1.17) · $100→$117
+10.6% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
96 in 100
Predicted
7.2 Rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 96.1% · the book's price implies 85.5% · gap +10.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds96.1%85.5%1.04+10.6%

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AI Analysis

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Josh Hart (New York Knicks) Under 11.5 Rebounds (-588)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Knicks prepare to face the Spurs, all eyes will be on Josh Hart, particularly for his rebounding numbers. With the line set at 11.5, the under offers a compelling case. Hart's recent form shows he's averaging 9.8 boards over his last five games, and when we look at his away performances, that number dips slightly to 10. Against the Spurs, he's managed only about 9.6 rebounds per game historically, which suggests the weight of the matchup might not favor him in hitting that high mark.The trend is even more promising: Hart has hit the under in 13 of his last 14 away games. With an expected stat value of just 7.23, it seems like a tall order for him to surpass that 11.5 threshold. Given the Spurs' size and rebounding prowess, it's a prudent move to lean toward the under here.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Josh Hart — 2024-25 season averages

Over 87 games in the 2024-25 season, Josh Hart averaged 13.5 points, 9.4 rebounds and 5.8 assists in 37.6 minutes per game, shooting 52.1% from the field and 33.9% from three-point range.

13.5
PPG
9.4
RPG
5.8
APG
1.5
SPG
0.4
BPG
37.6
MPG
52.1%
FG%
33.9%
3P%

Josh Hart — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Josh Hart has played 37.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

37.4
MPG (L5)
13.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Josh Hart — points hit rate

Josh Hart has scored over 11.5 points in 34% of 316 career games.

o11.534%
o12.527%
o15.515%

Josh Hart — home vs away scoring

At home Josh Hart averages 13.2 points per game; on the road, 13.9. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

13.2
PPG at home
13.9
PPG on the road

Josh Hart — scoring by opponent

Josh Hart scores most against the ATL, averaging 14.3 points per game in that matchup.

14.3
ATL
13.4
SAC
13.2
WSH
12.8
PHI
12.6
IND
12.4
ORL

Josh Hart — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Josh Hart has averaged 12.4 points, 8.4 rebounds and 4.9 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mayvs BOS30695
10 Mayvs BOS341063
7 May@ BOS432363
5 May@ BOS4514113
1 May@ DET3513104
29 Aprvs DET361576
27 Apr@ DET4214105
24 Apr@ DET416119
21 Aprvs DET401075
19 Aprvs DET301376
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Rebounds 11.5 Under -588 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks 3-Pointers 1.5 Under -128 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Rebounds 10.5 Under -303 ✓ HIT
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Rebounds Pending
11 Jun 26 San Antonio Spurs @ New York Knicks Rebounds Pending

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About This Player

Josh Hart (New York Knicks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Josh Hart is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Josh Hart is Under 11.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.6% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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