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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harrison Barnes is Over 5.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 48%, edge +27.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:19AM UTC
NBA

Harrison Barnes

San Antonio Spurs

+27.1% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 5.5 +110 (2.10) · $100→$210
+27.1% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Mon 20 Apr, 1:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
9.4 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.7% · the book's price implies 47.6% · gap +27.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points74.7%47.6%1.34+27.1%

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AI Analysis

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Harrison Barnes (San Antonio Spurs) Over 5.5 Points (+110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the San Antonio Spurs host the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes should be on Harrison Barnes and his points total set at just 5.5. This figure feels almost too low given Barnes' recent form. Over his last five games, he's averaged 9.2 points, and when playing at home, that number rises slightly to 8.2. More importantly, against the Blazers, he's been particularly effective, averaging 12.4 points per game in their recent matchups, with 12 points at home.Barnes has hit the over in his last three games, demonstrating not only consistency but also a knack for stepping up in pivotal moments. With the Spurs looking to solidify their position, expect Barnes to play a crucial role in their offensive scheme. At this price, banking on him to eclipse 5.5 points feels like a solid bet. It's hard to ignore the trends pointing in his favor.

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Pick History & Track Record

Harrison Barnes — 2024-25 season averages

Over 82 games in the 2024-25 season, Harrison Barnes averaged 12.3 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.7 assists in 27.2 minutes per game, shooting 50.8% from the field and 43.3% from three-point range.

12.3
PPG
3.8
RPG
1.7
APG
0.5
SPG
0.2
BPG
27.2
MPG
50.8%
FG%
43.3%
3P%

Harrison Barnes — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Harrison Barnes has played 29.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

29.8
MPG (L5)
16.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Harrison Barnes — points hit rate

Harrison Barnes has scored over 12.5 points in 52% of 844 career games.

o11.557%
o12.552%
o15.537%
o20.518%

Harrison Barnes — home vs away scoring

At home Harrison Barnes averages 13.7 points per game; on the road, 11.0. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

13.7
PPG at home
11.0
PPG on the road

Harrison Barnes — scoring by opponent

Harrison Barnes scores most against the IND, averaging 18.4 points per game in that matchup.

18.4
IND
16.5
ORL
16.5
NO
16.5
MIN
16.3
DEN
15.9
MIL

Harrison Barnes — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Harrison Barnes has averaged 16.7 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Aprvs TOR341851
11 Apr@ PHX15251
9 Apr@ GS362042
8 Apr@ LAC312451
6 Apr@ POR331771
4 Aprvs CLE302301
2 Apr@ DEN312083
1 Aprvs ORL292410
30 Marvs GS18613
29 Marvs BOS241332
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Harrison Barnes (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Harrison Barnes is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Harrison Barnes is Over 5.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.1% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Monday 20 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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