Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Gui Santos is Under 12.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 78%, implied 52%, edge +26.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:42AM UTC
NBA

Gui Santos

Golden State Warriors

+26.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Under 12.5 -106 (1.94) · $100→$194
+26.2% Edge
Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns
Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 2:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
8.1 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 77.7% · the book's price implies 51.5% · gap +26.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points77.7%51.5%1.29+26.2%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 12.5 Points (-106)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When we look at Gui Santos stepping onto the court for the Warriors against the Suns, there's a compelling narrative shaping up that leans towards an under on his points total. Sure, he's averaged 14.8 points over his last five games, but dig deeper and you'll see a stark contrast when he's on the road-his average drops to 11.8. Facing the Suns, who boast a solid defensive lineup, Santos has only managed 7.2 points historically against them, and even less on the road with just 8.2. With a recent hit rate suggesting he's found the under in two of his last three games and three of his last four on the road, there's a pattern here that's hard to ignore. At 12.5, we're pushing against a number that seems inflated given his recent form and the matchup. So, it's wise to take the under on Santos in this one.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Gui Santos — 2024-25 season averages

Over 66 games in the 2024-25 season, Gui Santos averaged 3.8 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists in 12.5 minutes per game, shooting 46.7% from the field and 34.2% from three-point range.

3.8
PPG
2.8
RPG
1.3
APG
0.4
SPG
0.2
BPG
12.5
MPG
46.7%
FG%
34.2%
3P%

Gui Santos — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Gui Santos has played 3.8 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

3.8
MPG (L5)
1.8
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Gui Santos — home vs away scoring

At home Gui Santos averages 3.4 points per game; on the road, 4.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

3.4
PPG at home
4.2
PPG on the road

Gui Santos — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Gui Santos has averaged 2.7 points, 1.0 rebounds and 0.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mayvs MIN5712
8 May@ MIN8022
6 May@ MIN4000
4 May@ HOU0000
2 Mayvs HOU2201
30 Apr@ HOU18722
28 Aprvs HOU1000
23 Apr@ HOU11311
20 Apr@ HOU7510
15 Aprvs MEM6330
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Gui Santos is Under 12.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.2% on this pick. Their next game is Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns on Saturday 18 April at Footprint Center, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.