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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Evan Mobley is Under 18.5 on Rebounds + Assists.
On Rebounds + Assists, our numbers say this bet wins about 95 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 95%, implied 59%, edge +36.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:50AM UTC
NBA

Evan Mobley

Cleveland Cavaliers

+36.1% Edge
🔥 3 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Rebs + Asts Under 18.5 -145 (1.69) · $100→$169
+36.1% Edge
Atlanta Hawks @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland, OH · Indoor
Wed 8 Apr, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
95 in 100
Predicted
13.0 Rebs + Asts
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 95.3% · the book's price implies 59.2% · gap +36.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebs + Asts95.3%59.2%1.05+36.1%

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AI Analysis

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Evan Mobley (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 18.5 Rebounds + Assists (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Evan Mobley has been a force for the Cavaliers, but in this matchup against the Hawks, I'm leaning toward the under on his combined rebounds and assists of 18.5. While he's averaged a solid 9.4 rebounds and 3.8 assists in his last five games, his contributions at home drop slightly, with averages of 8.6 rebounds and 3.6 assists. Against the Hawks specifically, he's found some success with 11.2 rebounds, but the overall assists average at home against them sits at just 3.6. Given that Mobley has hit this under in three straight games and boasts a perfect 10-for-10 home hit rate, the trend is hard to ignore. The Cavs are likely to lean on their other stars, limiting Mobley's opportunities to surpass this line. With an expected stat value around 12.96, it seems prudent to bet against him hitting that lofty mark tonight.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Evan Mobley — 2024-25 season averages

Over 80 games in the 2024-25 season, Evan Mobley averaged 18.2 points, 9.1 rebounds and 3.0 assists in 30.4 minutes per game, shooting 56.1% from the field and 37.8% from three-point range.

18.2
PPG
9.1
RPG
3.0
APG
0.9
SPG
1.5
BPG
30.4
MPG
56.1%
FG%
37.8%
3P%

Evan Mobley — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Evan Mobley has played 31.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

31.6
MPG (L5)
17.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Evan Mobley — points hit rate

Evan Mobley has scored over 15.5 points in 44% of 64 career games.

o11.570%
o12.563%
o15.544%
o20.513%

Evan Mobley — home vs away scoring

At home Evan Mobley averages 18.1 points per game; on the road, 18.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

18.1
PPG at home
18.3
PPG on the road

Evan Mobley — scoring by opponent

Evan Mobley scores most against the ATL, averaging 17.7 points per game in that matchup.

17.7
ATL
17.5
BKN
17.3
WSH
17.2
IND
17.1
CHA
16.5
CHI

Evan Mobley — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Evan Mobley has averaged 17.4 points, 8.7 rebounds and 2.2 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Mayvs IND3724111
11 May@ IND271050
9 May@ IND3518134
4 Mayvs IND3620102
28 Apr@ MIA231771
26 Apr@ MIA321963
23 Aprvs MIA342061
20 Aprvs MIA33971
11 Apr@ NY3516102
8 Aprvs CHI2921127
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Mar 26 Detroit Pistons @ Cleveland Cavaliers 3-Pointers 0.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT
01 Mar 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Brooklyn Nets Blocks 1.5 Under -108 ✓ HIT
28 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons 3-Pointers 0.5 Over -185 ✓ HIT
28 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons Blocks Pending
22 Feb 26 Cleveland Cavaliers @ Oklahoma City Thunder Blocks Pending

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About This Player

Evan Mobley (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Evan Mobley is currently on a 3-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Evan Mobley is Under 18.5 on Rebounds + Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +36.1% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday 8 April at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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