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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for De'Aaron Fox is Over 13.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 87 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 87%, implied 64%, edge +22.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
NBA

De'Aaron Fox

San Antonio Spurs

+22.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 13.5 -179 (1.56) · $100→$156
+22.5% Edge
New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Sun 14 Jun, 12:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
87 in 100
Predicted
19.9 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 86.6% · the book's price implies 64.1% · gap +22.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points86.6%64.1%1.15+22.5%

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AI Analysis

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De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) Over 13.5 Points (-179)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As De'Aaron Fox takes the floor for the Spurs at home against the Knicks, all signs point to a strong performance, especially when it comes to scoring. Over his last five games, he's averaged 14.4 points, but the numbers shift favorably in his own arena, where he's notched an impressive 11.8 points per game recently. Historically, when facing the Knicks at home, Fox has bumped that average to 19.2 points. With a hit rate of 10 out of his last 14 home games, the confidence in his scoring ability is palpable. Plus, he's been hitting the over 70% of the time in his last 20 outings. Given the Knicks' defense and Fox's current form, laying a wager on him to surpass 13.5 points feels not just optimistic but well-founded. Fox has the tools to exceed that number comfortably, making this prop bet a compelling choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

De'Aaron Fox — 2024-25 season averages

Over 62 games in the 2024-25 season, De'Aaron Fox averaged 23.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 6.3 assists in 36.2 minutes per game, shooting 46.3% from the field and 31.0% from three-point range.

23.5
PPG
4.8
RPG
6.3
APG
1.5
SPG
0.4
BPG
36.2
MPG
46.3%
FG%
31.0%
3P%

De'Aaron Fox — recent role

Across his last 5 games, De'Aaron Fox has played 32.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

32.4
MPG (L5)
19.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

De'Aaron Fox — points hit rate

De'Aaron Fox has scored over 20.5 points in 39% of 342 career games.

o11.581%
o12.575%
o15.562%
o20.539%
o25.522%

De'Aaron Fox — home vs away scoring

At home De'Aaron Fox averages 25.8 points per game; on the road, 21.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

25.8
PPG at home
21.4
PPG on the road

De'Aaron Fox — scoring by opponent

De'Aaron Fox scores most against the LAL, averaging 26.2 points per game in that matchup.

26.2
LAL
25.9
SA
25.3
DAL
25.0
ATL
24.8
WSH
24.7
MIN

De'Aaron Fox — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, De'Aaron Fox has averaged 17.4 points, 4.2 rebounds and 6.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Marvs DAL4132911
10 Marvs DAL341448
9 Mar@ MIN272223
7 Mar@ SAC331648
4 Marvs BKN271537
2 Marvs OKC342044
1 Mar@ MEM352037
26 Feb@ HOU28733
25 Feb@ NO381539
23 Feb@ NO341375
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Points Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending
14 Jun 26 New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending

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About This Player

De'Aaron Fox (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for De'Aaron Fox is Over 13.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.5% on this pick. Their next game is New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs on Sunday 14 June at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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