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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Cason Wallace is Over 5.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 54%, edge +20.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:19AM UTC
NBA

Cason Wallace

Oklahoma City Thunder

+20.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 5.5 -118 (1.85) · $100→$185
+20.9% Edge
Phoenix Suns @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 7:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
75 in 100
Predicted
9.4 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 75.0% · the book's price implies 54.1% · gap +20.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points75.0%54.1%1.33+20.9%

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AI Analysis

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Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) Over 5.5 Points (-118)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Oklahoma City Thunder gear up to host the Phoenix Suns, all eyes should be on Cason Wallace. With the young guard averaging a solid 11.8 points at home over his last five games, he's truly found his rhythm on familiar ground. The Suns, while formidable, have struggled against Wallace, who's netted an impressive 11 points in their recent encounters. His recent form is telling; he's hit the over on this mark in three straight home games and has a commendable overall hit rate of 5 out of his last 8. Given that he's expected to score around 9.41 points based on the stats, the line at 5.5 feels like a gift. With the Thunder playing at home where Wallace shines, betting on him to surpass that mark is a savvy play. Expect him to rise to the occasion in this pivotal matchup!

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Pick History & Track Record

Cason Wallace — 2024-25 season averages

Over 78 games in the 2024-25 season, Cason Wallace averaged 7.9 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists in 26.6 minutes per game, shooting 47.5% from the field and 35.8% from three-point range.

7.9
PPG
3.3
RPG
2.5
APG
1.7
SPG
0.5
BPG
26.6
MPG
47.5%
FG%
35.8%
3P%

Cason Wallace — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Cason Wallace has played 18.8 minutes per game and started 0% of them.

18.8
MPG (L5)
5.6
PPG (L5)
0%
Started

Cason Wallace — home vs away scoring

At home Cason Wallace averages 7.6 points per game; on the road, 8.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

7.6
PPG at home
8.3
PPG on the road

Cason Wallace — scoring by opponent

Cason Wallace scores most against the DAL, averaging 7.6 points per game in that matchup.

7.6
DAL
6.8
MEM
5.5
DEN

Cason Wallace — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Cason Wallace has averaged 5.5 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2.1 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 Mayvs DEN18422
11 May@ DEN231152
9 May@ DEN20231
7 Mayvs DEN12822
5 Mayvs DEN21323
26 Apr@ MEM21411
24 Apr@ MEM24553
22 Aprvs MEM24523
20 Aprvs MEM13223
8 Aprvs LAL271121
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Cason Wallace (Oklahoma City Thunder) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Cason Wallace is Over 5.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.9% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday 19 April at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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