Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Ausar Thompson is Over 19.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 39 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 39%, implied 24%, edge +15.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:22AM UTC
NBA

Ausar Thompson

Detroit Pistons

+15.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 19.5 +324 (4.24) · $100→$424
+15.0% Edge
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 10:30PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
39 in 100
Predicted
17.5 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 38.6% · the book's price implies 23.6% · gap +15.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs38.6%23.6%2.59+15.0%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) Over 19.5 Points + Rebounds (+324)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Detroit Pistons gear up to take on the Orlando Magic, all eyes should be on Ausar Thompson. Playing at home, he's primed for a breakout performance. While his recent averages hover around 10.2 points and 5.6 rebounds at home, the matchup against the Magic presents a golden opportunity for him to elevate those numbers. Historically, Thompson has managed to grab about 6.4 rebounds against Orlando, which bodes well for his overall contribution.With the Pistons needing to lean on their young talent, Thompson's potential to exceed the 19.5 mark in points and rebounds feels palpable. The home court advantage should amplify his confidence, and with a hit rate of 4 out of the last 16 games at home, he might just surprise us. Expect him to rise to the occasion and challenge that over with a dynamic performance.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Ausar Thompson — 2024-25 season averages

Over 65 games in the 2024-25 season, Ausar Thompson averaged 10.2 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists in 22.5 minutes per game, shooting 53.8% from the field and 21.6% from three-point range.

10.2
PPG
5.1
RPG
2.2
APG
1.6
SPG
0.7
BPG
22.5
MPG
53.8%
FG%
21.6%
3P%

Ausar Thompson — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Ausar Thompson has played 22.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

22.6
MPG (L5)
11.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Ausar Thompson — home vs away scoring

At home Ausar Thompson averages 10.1 points per game; on the road, 10.3. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

10.1
PPG at home
10.3
PPG on the road

Ausar Thompson — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Ausar Thompson has averaged 11.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.8 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
1 Mayvs NY231761
29 Apr@ NY292270
27 Aprvs NY22840
24 Aprvs NY18734
21 Apr@ NY21550
19 Apr@ NY231061
11 Aprvs MIL271171
10 Aprvs NY21341
7 Aprvs SAC291545
5 Aprvs MEM3118115
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Ausar Thompson (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ausar Thompson is Over 19.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.0% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons on Sunday 19 April at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.