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The latest Bet Better model pick for Andrew Nembhard is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers.
On 3-Pointers, our numbers say this bet wins about 62 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 62%, implied 48%, edge +13.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:23AM UTC
NBA

Andrew Nembhard

Indiana Pacers

+13.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 1.5 +108 (2.08) · $100→$208
+13.4% Edge
Los Angeles Lakers @ Indiana Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN · Indoor
Wed 25 Mar, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
62 in 100
Predicted
1.3 3-Pointers
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 61.5% · the book's price implies 48.1% · gap +13.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers61.5%—48.1%1.63+13.4%

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AI Analysis

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Andrew Nembhard (Indiana Pacers) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Indiana Pacers gear up to face the Los Angeles Lakers, all eyes will be on Andrew Nembhard, but we're feeling a bit cautious about his three-point shooting. While he's at home, where he typically makes about 2.2 threes, recent matchups tell a different story. In his last five games against the Lakers, he's averaging just one three-pointer, and at home, it's a modest 1.5. Given that he's only converted over 1.5 threes in two of his last three games, this matchup might see Nembhard struggle to find his rhythm. The Lakers are known for their perimeter defense, which could further stifle his shooting opportunities. At an expected stat value of just 1.33, betting on Nembhard to stay under 1.5 threes made appears not just plausible but a smart play amidst the data. Keep an eye on this one - less could very well be more.

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Pick History & Track Record

Andrew Nembhard — 2024-25 season averages

Over 75 games in the 2024-25 season, Andrew Nembhard averaged 10.7 points, 3.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists in 29.5 minutes per game, shooting 46.6% from the field and 33.3% from three-point range.

10.7
PPG
3.3
RPG
5.1
APG
1.2
SPG
0.2
BPG
29.5
MPG
46.6%
FG%
33.3%
3P%

Andrew Nembhard — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Andrew Nembhard has played 33.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

33.2
MPG (L5)
14.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Andrew Nembhard — home vs away scoring

At home Andrew Nembhard averages 10.1 points per game; on the road, 11.2. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

10.1
PPG at home
11.2
PPG on the road

Andrew Nembhard — scoring by opponent

Andrew Nembhard scores most against the MIL, averaging 12.5 points per game in that matchup.

12.5
MIL
12.4
BOS
10.8
NY
9.5
CLE
8.9
PHI
8.4
CHI

Andrew Nembhard — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Andrew Nembhard has averaged 14.6 points, 3.4 rebounds and 6.0 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
13 May@ CLE371836
11 Mayvs CLE30737
9 Mayvs CLE261044
6 May@ CLE3613713
4 May@ CLE372306
29 Aprvs MIL371566
27 Apr@ MIL312032
25 Apr@ MIL30615
22 Aprvs MIL341736
19 Aprvs MIL291745
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 Indiana Pacers @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
25 Feb 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Indiana Pacers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Andrew Nembhard (Indiana Pacers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andrew Nembhard is Under 1.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.4% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers on Wednesday 25 March at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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