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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Andre Drummond is Under 16.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 79 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 79%, implied 53%, edge +26.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:42AM UTC
NBA

Andre Drummond

Philadelphia 76ers

+26.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 16.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+26.3% Edge
Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics
TD Garden, Boston, MA · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 5:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
79 in 100
Predicted
10.8 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 79.5% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +26.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs79.5%53.2%1.26+26.3%

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AI Analysis

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Andre Drummond (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Philadelphia 76ers roll into Boston, all eyes will be on Andre Drummond, but betting on him to eclipse 16.5 points and rebounds feels risky. Drummond has been in a bit of a rut lately, averaging just 9.2 points and 11.2 rebounds over his last five games. Even more concerning is his away performance, where he's only managed 5.2 points and 9 boards. Against the Celtics, Drummond's numbers drop further-he typically puts up just 6 points and 7.6 rebounds per game in Boston. With the Celtics' solid defense, particularly at home, it's hard to see him breaking through his typical production. Historically, he's hit the under in 8 of his last 12 games, and 4 of his last 6 on the road. With the odds leaning towards the under, this is an opportunity to capitalize on Drummond's current struggles.

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Pick History & Track Record

Andre Drummond — 2024-25 season averages

Over 40 games in the 2024-25 season, Andre Drummond averaged 7.3 points, 7.8 rebounds and 0.9 assists in 18.7 minutes per game, shooting 50.0% from the field and 15.0% from three-point range.

7.3
PPG
7.8
RPG
0.9
APG
1.0
SPG
0.5
BPG
18.7
MPG
50.0%
FG%
15.0%
3P%

Andre Drummond — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Andre Drummond has played 21.6 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

21.6
MPG (L5)
9.6
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Andre Drummond — points hit rate

Andre Drummond has scored over 12.5 points in 58% of 773 career games.

o11.564%
o12.558%
o15.538%
o20.516%

Andre Drummond — home vs away scoring

At home Andre Drummond averages 8.0 points per game; on the road, 6.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

8.0
PPG at home
6.8
PPG on the road

Andre Drummond — scoring by opponent

Andre Drummond scores most against the IND, averaging 13.6 points per game in that matchup.

13.6
IND
13.6
MEM
13.5
CLE
13.2
PHI
13.1
DAL
12.7
ATL

Andre Drummond — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Andre Drummond has averaged 8.9 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.5 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
12 Mar@ TOR25461
9 Marvs UTAH10620
6 Mar@ BOS259102
4 Mar@ MIN19473
3 Marvs POR2925181
1 Marvs GS2110142
26 Feb@ NY29795
24 Febvs CHI141080
22 Febvs BKN5630
20 Febvs BOS13871
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Andre Drummond (Philadelphia 76ers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Andre Drummond is Under 16.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.3% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics on Sunday 19 April at TD Garden, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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