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The latest Bet Better model pick for Alex Sarr is Over 11.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 83 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 83%, implied 62%, edge +21.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:20AM UTC
NBA

Alex Sarr

Washington Wizards

+21.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 11.5 -164 (1.61) · $100→$161
+21.0% Edge
Washington Wizards @ New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY · Indoor
Sun 22 Mar, 11:30PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Washington's selection of AJ Dybantsa likely won't significantly alter Sarr's role heading into his third NBA season
updated Jun 24, 2:36PM UTC · 77d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
83 in 100
Predicted
17.1 Points
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 83.1% · the book's price implies 62.1% · gap +21.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points83.1%62.1%1.20+21.0%

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AI Analysis

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Alex Sarr (Washington Wizards) Over 11.5 Points (-164)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Washington Wizards gear up to face the New York Knicks, all eyes should be on Alex Sarr for a solid points performance. Over his last five games, Sarr has averaged 12.8 points, and when he steps away from home, that number creeps up to 13.4. Against the Knicks, he's been particularly effective, netting an average of 13.6 points in their recent encounters. What's even more compelling is his recent form-Sarr has hit the over on this line in 13 of his last 17 games, and an impressive 16 of his last 20 when playing away. Given that the model suggests an expected stat value of 17.06 points, it's clear that 11.5 feels like a bargain. With a hit rate that speaks volumes, betting on Sarr to go over is not just smart; it's practically a given.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
BlocksSeason marketNo line posted

Alex Sarr has active Blocks prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

PointsSeason marketNo line posted

Alex Sarr has active Points prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

Points + ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Alex Sarr has active Points + Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

ReboundsSeason marketNo line posted

Alex Sarr has active Rebounds prop markets. Per-game form is being refreshed.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Nov 25 Washington Wizards @ Indiana Pacers Blocks 0.5 Over -667 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Alex Sarr (Washington Wizards) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alex Sarr is Over 11.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +21.0% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks on Sunday 22 March at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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