As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Sacramento Kings, all eyes will be on Seth Curry's three-point shooting, but a deeper dive suggests a compelling case for taking the Under on 1.5 three-pointers made. Although Curry has dazzled in past matchups against the Kings, recent form tells a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaging just one three-pointer, and at home, that number barely creeps up to 1.2. While he's found success in their previous encounters, hitting an average of 2.2 threes at home against Sacramento, the Warriors' current offensive dynamics might limit his opportunities. With a solid hit rate, converting three out of four times recently, it seems wise to temper expectations. Given that the implied probability is favoring the Under at 65.4%, this may be the right spot to cash in on a more subdued performance from Curry.
Devin Carter (Sacramento Kings) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-135)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Sacramento Kings prepare to face the Golden State Warriors, all eyes will be on Devin Carter's rebounding numbers. With the line set at 5.5, it's hard to ignore the trends suggesting he might fall short. Over the last five games, he's averaged just 4.2 boards on the road, and against this Warriors squad, he's managed a mere 0.4 rebounds in their recent matchups.In fact, Carter's recent performance shows he's only reached this number twice in the last 20 away games, hitting the under 90% of the time. The Kings will be battling a Warriors team that's tough on the glass, making it even tougher for Carter to find those second-chance opportunities. All signs point to a night where he struggles to rack up rebounds, making the under a sound choice in this matchup.
Nique Clifford (Sacramento Kings) Under 1.5 Threes Made (+112)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Kings head into this matchup against the Warriors, Nique Clifford's recent shooting form suggests we might see him struggle to hit the over on 1.5 threes. Sure, his history against the Warriors shows he's made 2.5 threes on average in their last five encounters, but let's not forget the context. On the road, he's only hitting 1.4 threes lately, and with Golden State's defense ramping up at home, we might see that trend continue. Clifford's overall hit rate is solid at 60%, but it's worth noting that he's gone under 1.5 threes in his last few games-averaging just 1.25 in this situation. With the Warriors defending the perimeter well, this could be a tough night for Clifford. Betting the under at 1.5 threes feels like the smart play as he navigates a challenging defensive matchup away from home.
Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors) Over 24.5 Points + Rebounds (-244)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishingAs the Warriors gear up to face the Kings at home, all eyes should be on Stephen Curry to surpass that 24.5 points + rebounds mark. Over his last five games, Curry has averaged a stellar 28.6 points, showcasing his elite scoring prowess. But it's his home court where he truly shines-adding an impressive 23.6 points against the Kings in their last matchup at Chase Center.Let's not forget the rebounding; while he averages just 2.4 at home, he's been known to step it up when it matters, pulling down 4 boards against Sacramento recently. With Curry's overall hit rate at 4 out of 5 for this prop, and an expected value of 32.29, betting on him to hit the over feels like a smart play. Given the stakes and his current form, I wouldn't be surprised if he lights it up on Wednesday night.
Nique Clifford (Sacramento Kings) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-128)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Sacramento Kings prepare to face the Golden State Warriors, all eyes are on Nique Clifford's rebounding performance. At an away average of 4.8 rebounds lately, it's clear he's been solid, but let's dig a bit deeper. Against the Warriors specifically, he's averaged a mere 1.5 rebounds over their last five meetings. In fact, when playing in Golden State, he's yet to snag a single board in their last matchup. With the pressure of the away crowd and a Warriors team that thrives on fast breaks and perimeter shooting, Clifford's opportunities for rebounds could dwindle. Add in his recent trend of hitting the under three out of his last three games and it becomes clear: targeting the under at 5.5 rebounds for Clifford is a savvy play. Expect him to struggle against a Warriors squad that's adept at boxing out and controlling the boards.
Maxime Raynaud (Sacramento Kings) Under 11.5 Rebounds (-357)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishingAs the Sacramento Kings prepare to clash with the Golden State Warriors, all eyes should be on Maxime Raynaud's rebounding numbers, particularly targeting the under on 11.5. Despite his promising potential, the numbers tell a different story. Over his last five games, Raynaud has averaged just 10 rebounds overall, and when playing away, that figure dips to a modest 8. Against the Warriors, he's averaged only 5 boards, and this trend continues away from home, with an average of 7 rebounds in past encounters. Remarkably, he's hit the under in 9 of his last 10 games, showcasing a consistent pattern. With the intensity of playoff positioning heating up, it's likely that Raynaud will be more focused on contributing in other ways than chasing down rebounds. This makes the under a compelling play as we expect him to fall short of the 11.5 mark in this pivotal matchup.