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The latest Bet Better model pick for Zac Gallen is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Walks.
On Pitcher - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 90 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 90%, implied 67%, edge +23.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 Hlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 BBlanded 9 of the last 10
Over 1.50 BBlanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 11, 3:21PM UTC
MLB

Zac Gallen

MLB

+23.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Walks Under 2.5 -200 (1.50) · $100→$150
+23.5% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Thu 9 Jul, 2:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb batter home runs overs: 27 of 145 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
90 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 90.2% · the book's price implies 66.7% · gap +23.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Walks90.2%66.7%1.11+23.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Zac Gallen (NA) Under 2.5 Walks Allowed (-200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres gear up to face the Diamondbacks, all eyes will be on Zac Gallen, whose command on the mound has been nothing short of stellar. Over his last several outings, Gallen has showcased remarkable precision, consistently limiting walks and keeping hitters off balance. With an impressive average of just over one walk per game, the Under 2.5 walks allowed feels like a ripe opportunity. The Padres, while a formidable lineup, have struggled against pitchers who can locate their fastballs effectively—something Gallen excels at. His ability to mix pitches and maintain low walk rates against teams like San Diego underscores this bet's potential. With Gallen's recent form and the Padres' challenges with disciplined pitching, it’s tough to envision him handing out free passes tonight. This matchup feels primed for Gallen to shine, making the Under on walks a smart play.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Zac Gallen is averaging 5.2 hits, 1.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

5.2
Hits
1.0
HR
0.0
RBI
3.4
Runs
2.6
Walks
5.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Zac Gallen has gone over 2.5 SO in 90% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.590%
o3.590%
o4.580%
o5.550%
o6.550%
o7.530%

Home / away and opponent splits

Zac Gallen is averaging 5.2 hits per game over his last 5 and 4.8 in home games, including his recent form against LAD.

5.2
Hits · Overall
4.8
Hits · Home
5.4
Hits · vs LAD
1.0
HR · Overall
0.8
HR · Home
1.0
HR · vs LAD
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Zac Gallen is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zac Gallen is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +23.5% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres on Thursday 9 July at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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