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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Willy Adames is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 50%, implied 67%, edge -14.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 2.50 hits runs rbislanded 6 of the last 10
Over 3.50 hits runs rbislanded 5 of the last 10
Under 2.50 1Blanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:22AM UTC
MLB

Willy Adames

SFG

-14.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 0.5 -200 (1.50) · $100→$150
-14.1% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park, San Francisco, California · Outdoor
Tue 25 Aug, 1:45AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Adames got a second opinion on his elbow Thursday and is expected to miss three to four weeks, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
updated Aug 27, 10:54PM UTC · 13d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
53 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 52.6% · the book's price implies 66.7% · gap -14.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs52.6%50.3%66.7%1.99-14.1%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Willy Adames (SFG) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-200)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

San Francisco Giants play Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Willy Adames (SFG) Over 0.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-200). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -200 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Willy Adames is averaging 0.7 hits, 0.3 home runs and 0.3 RBIs per game over his last 3 games.

0.7
Hits
0.3
HR
0.3
RBI
0.3
Runs
1.3
Walks
0.3
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Willy Adames has gone over 1.5 total bases in 33% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.533%
o2.517%
o3.517%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Willy Adames is averaging 0.7 hits per game over his last 5, including his recent form against CLE.

0.7
Hits · Overall
0.0
Hits · vs CLE
0.3
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · vs CLE
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
23 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -286 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Over +104 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Walks Pending
22 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Pending
21 Aug 26 San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Pending

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About This Player

Willy Adames (SFG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Willy Adames is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a slight edge of -14.1% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants on Tuesday 25 August at Oracle Park, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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