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The latest Bet Better model pick for Willson Contreras is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 1Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 2.50 hits runs rbislanded 9 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 4:48AM UTC
MLB

Willson Contreras

STL

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Under 0.5 -156 (1.64) · $100→$164
Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts · Outdoor
Mon 31 Aug, 10:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Contreras (hamstring) will begin a rehab assignment at Double-A Portland on Friday, Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.
updated Sep 9, 9:16PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
See the numbers

For the numbers: the book's price implies 61.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored61.0%1.76

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Willson Contreras (STL) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-156)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Boston Red Sox play Seattle Mariners in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Willson Contreras (STL) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-156). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -156 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Willson Contreras is averaging 1.6 hits, 0.2 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.6
Hits
0.2
HR
0.4
RBI
0.6
Runs
0.6
Walks
1.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Willson Contreras has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.510%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Willson Contreras is averaging 1.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.0 in home games, including his recent form against CIN.

1.6
Hits · Overall
1.0
Hits · Home
1.0
Hits · vs CIN
0.2
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs CIN
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -278 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -152 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -119 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Batter - Total Bases Pending
30 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Batter - Runs Scored Pending
30 Aug 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Batter - RBIs Pending

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About This Player

Willson Contreras (STL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Willson Contreras is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. Their next game is Seattle Mariners vs Boston Red Sox on Monday 31 August at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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