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The latest Bet Better model pick for Will Smith is Over 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 76%, implied 3%, edge +19.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 6 of the last 10
Over 0.50 total baseslanded 6 of the last 10
Under 1.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:19AM UTC
MLB

Will Smith

LAD

+19.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Over 0.5 +3800 (39.00) · $100→$3,900
+19.5% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Thu 10 Sep, 2:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
22 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Batter - Stolen Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 22.1% · the book's price implies 2.6% · gap +19.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases22.1%76.0%2.6%1.32+19.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds: Will Smith Over 0.5 Batter - Stolen Bases (+3500)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Will Smith has shown some surprising speed on the base paths lately. He averages over three plate appearances at Dodger Stadium, which gives him plenty of chances to swipe a base. The Dodgers have been hitting well against left-handed pitchers, so if he gets on base, he might feel confident enough to run. The Reds have been struggling a bit, averaging 0.7 runs behind in their last 12 games. While both teams have been decent against lefties, Smith's ability to steal a base adds an exciting twist. The main risk here is that he doesn't get enough opportunities, especially if he doesn't reach base. But if he does, the odds could pay off nicely!

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Will Smith is averaging 1.0 hits, 0.4 home runs and 1.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.0
Hits
0.4
HR
1.2
RBI
0.6
Runs
0.4
Walks
0.8
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Will Smith has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.560%
o1.530%
o2.520%
o3.510%
o4.510%

Home / away and opponent splits

Will Smith is averaging 1.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.4 in home games, including his recent form against MIL.

1.0
Hits · Overall
1.4
Hits · Home
1.0
Hits · vs MIL
0.4
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Home
0.4
HR · vs MIL
Quick answers:How many home runs does Will Smith hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -143 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -556 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Singles 0.5 Under -200 ✓ HIT
09 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Walks — — — Pending
09 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
09 Sep 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Los Angeles Dodgers Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Will Smith (LAD) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Will Smith is Over 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.5% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday 10 September at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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