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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyler Mahle is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 1.50 SOlanded 9 of the last 10
Under 3.50 SOlanded 8 of the last 10
Under 1.50 ERlanded 3 of the last 4

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:23AM UTC
MLB

Tyler Mahle

MLB

Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 4.5 -115 (1.87) · $100→$187
Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Sun 30 Aug, 5:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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See the numbers

For the numbers: the book's price implies 53.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed——53.5%2.06—

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies: Tyler Mahle Under 4.5 Pitcher - Hits Allowed (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Tyler Mahle has been solid lately, allowing fewer hits than usual. The Atlanta Braves are great at home, winning a lot more games than they lose, and they've been hitting well against left-handed pitchers like Mahle. They've scored points and put pressure on opposing pitchers, making it tough for them to get through the lineup unscathed. However, Mahle can be hit hard if he's not careful, and the Colorado Rockies are struggling, winning only 2 of their last 10 games. They haven't been consistent against lefties either, which makes this a tricky matchup for them.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: SO

Tyler Mahle has gone over 2.5 SO in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o2.560%
o3.540%
o4.530%
o5.510%
o6.50%
o7.50%
o8.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -115 ✗ MISS
30 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ Atlanta Braves Pitcher - Walks 1.5 Under -111 ✓ HIT
23 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS
23 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers Pitcher - Earned Runs — — — Pending
23 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ Milwaukee Brewers Pitcher - Walks — — — Pending
18 Aug 26 Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins Pitcher - Hits Allowed — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tyler Mahle is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyler Mahle is Under 4.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs Atlanta Braves on Sunday 30 August at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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