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The latest Bet Better model pick for Salvador Perez is Over 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 77 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 77%, implied 4%, edge +18.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 2.50 1Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 1Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 2.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:29AM UTC
MLB

Salvador Perez

KCR

+18.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Over 0.5 +2700 (28.00) · $100→$2,800
+18.2% Edge
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Wed 9 Sep, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
22 in 100
Predicted
0.0 Batter - Stolen Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 21.8% · the book's price implies 3.6% · gap +18.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases21.8%76.8%3.6%1.30+18.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks: Salvador Perez Over 0.5 Batter - Stolen Bases (+2900)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Salvador Perez has been impressive at Kauffman Stadium, averaging about 3 hits, runs, and RBIs in his recent games. He also tends to show up against left-handed pitchers, which is important since the Diamondbacks have a lefty starting today. This could give him some chances to steal bases, especially with how well he's been hitting lately. The Royals have struggled overall, winning only 3 of their last 10 games, which shows they're not in the best form. However, Perez's ability to make things happen on the base paths makes this bet worth considering. The biggest risk is that the Royals haven't been scoring enough runs lately, so it may be tough for him to get those opportunities.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Salvador Perez is averaging 0.4 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.0 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.4
Hits
0.0
HR
0.0
RBI
0.2
Runs
0.2
Walks
0.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Salvador Perez has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.540%
o1.520%
o2.510%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Salvador Perez is averaging 0.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.4 in away games, including his recent form against LAA.

0.4
Hits · Overall
0.4
Hits · Away
1.2
Hits · vs LAA
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs LAA
Quick answers:How many home runs does Salvador Perez hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Runs Scored 1.5 Over +950 ✗ MISS
08 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -217 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Singles — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Salvador Perez (KCR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Salvador Perez is Over 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.2% on this pick. Their next game is Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals on Wednesday 9 September at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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