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The latest Bet Better model pick for Riley Greene is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100. For the numbers: calibrated probability 50%, implied 60%, edge -1.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 6.50 hits runs rbislanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 RBIlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:27AM UTC
MLB

Riley Greene

MLB

-1.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -149 (1.67) · $100→$167
-1.4% Edge
Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers
Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan · Outdoor
Wed 9 Sep, 5:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
58 in 100
Predicted
1.1 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 58.5% · the book's price implies 59.9% · gap -1.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases58.5%50.2%59.9%1.78-1.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins: Riley Greene Under 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (-149)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Riley Greene has averaged less than one total base per game at Comerica Park, which makes this bet interesting. He's faced tough pitching lately, and the overall hitting numbers for both the Tigers and the Twins against left-handed pitchers are pretty similar, so it's not easy to pick a winner. Greene's recent form suggests he might struggle to get on base. With the way both teams have been playing, it's a close call, but the numbers lean towards him staying below 1.5 total bases today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Recent form (last 5 games)

Riley Greene is averaging 0.6 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.6
Hits
0.0
HR
0.4
RBI
0.4
Runs
0.6
Walks
0.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Riley Greene has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.517%
o2.517%
o3.50%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Riley Greene is averaging 0.6 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.0 in away games, including his recent form against SEA.

0.6
Hits · Overall
0.0
Hits · Away
1.4
Hits · vs SEA
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.4
HR · vs SEA
Quick answers:How many home runs does Riley Greene hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Hits 0.5 Under +139 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -625 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -172 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers Batter - Runs Scored — — — Pending
08 Sep 26 Minnesota Twins @ Detroit Tigers Batter - RBIs — — — Pending

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About This Player

Riley Greene is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Riley Greene is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of -1.4% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers on Wednesday 9 September at Comerica Park, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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