Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Randy Dobnak is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 51 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 51%, implied 52%, edge +6.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:44AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
-109 (1.92) · $100→$192
+6.5% Edge
Kansas City Royals
@
Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Wed 26 Aug, 11:07PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
59 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 58.6% · the book's price implies 52.1% · gap +6.5%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 58.6% | 50.7% | 52.1% | 1.97 | +6.5% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Randy Dobnak Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-109)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Toronto Blue Jays play Kansas City Royals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Randy Dobnak Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-109). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -109 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.17 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Randy Dobnak is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Randy Dobnak is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.5% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday 26 August at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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