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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Rafael Flores is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 31 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 31%, implied 35%, edge +17.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 10, 4:50AM UTC
MLB

Rafael Flores

MLB

+17.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Over 1.5 +187 (2.87) · $100→$287
+17.2% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago White Sox
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, Illinois · Outdoor
Wed 9 Sep, 11:40PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
1.9 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 52.0% · the book's price implies 34.8% · gap +17.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases52.0%31.0%34.8%3.16+17.2%

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AI Analysis

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Chicago White Sox vs Pittsburgh Pirates: Rafael Flores Over 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (+187)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Rafael Flores has been making a splash lately, especially against left-handed pitchers. The White Sox have been hitting well against lefties, with a solid average that matches what most teams do in the league. So, with Flores at bat, there's a good chance he can rack up some total bases in this game against the Pirates. Both teams have been close in recent matches, and the Pirates have been winning more often lately. However, Flores has a real opportunity to shine at home in front of the crowd. The biggest risk here is that the Pirates have also been hitting decently, so it could be a tight game. Still, going for over 1.5 total bases for Flores seems like a smart bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Rafael Flores is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Rafael Flores is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.2% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago White Sox on Wednesday 9 September at Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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