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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Mike Yastrzemski is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On Batter - Runs Scored, our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 7%, implied 7%, edge +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 6 of the last 10
Under 1.50 2Blanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 1Blanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 10, 5:29AM UTC
MLB

Mike Yastrzemski

SFG

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Over 1.5 +1400 (15.00) · $100→$1,500
+0.2% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves
Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia · Outdoor
Thu 10 Sep, 4:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
7 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Batter - Runs Scored
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 6.9% · the book's price implies 6.7% · gap +0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored6.9%6.7%14.60+0.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games4/10

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AI Analysis

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Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays: Mike Yastrzemski Over 1.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+1400)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Mike Yastrzemski has been hitting well lately, and he plays for the Tampa Bay Rays against the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park. The Braves have given up around 0.1 runs per game more than the Rays have scored recently. Yastrzemski has a solid chance of getting on base, considering he averages 2.7 at-bats at this park, and he's faced left-handed pitchers often this year. While it's a long shot, the potential payout is tempting. He's had a few ground outs but also a decent batting average, so he could surprise us. The biggest challenge is that both teams are playing at a similar level lately, making this a close matchup. If Yastrzemski can capitalize on his chances, he might just score a couple of runs.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 6 of last 10(60%)

Mike Yastrzemski's lines for Thu 10 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Runs Scored 1.5

Mike Yastrzemski's batter runs scored line is 1.5.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Mike Yastrzemski is averaging 0.8 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

0.8
Hits
0.0
HR
0.4
RBI
0.2
Runs
0.8
Walks
0.2
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Mike Yastrzemski has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.560%
o1.530%
o2.520%
o3.510%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Mike Yastrzemski is averaging 0.8 hits per game over his last 5 and 0.6 in away games, including his recent form against LAA.

0.8
Hits · Overall
0.6
Hits · Away
0.4
Hits · vs LAA
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Away
0.0
HR · vs LAA
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -125 ✗ MISS
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Hits 0.5 Under -147 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - RBIs Pending
08 Sep 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Atlanta Braves Batter - Walks Pending
06 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Stolen Bases Pending

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About This Player

Mike Yastrzemski (SFG) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mike Yastrzemski is Over 1.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves on Thursday 10 September at Truist Park, Atlanta. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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