Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Michael McGreevy is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 57%, implied 58%, edge +4.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Under 4.50 SOlanded 4 of the last 4
Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
Model updated Sep 10, 5:22AM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
-139 (1.72) · $100→$172
+4.9% Edge
St. Louis Cardinals
@
San Francisco Giants
Oracle Park, San Francisco, California · Outdoor
Wed 9 Sep, 1:45AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts unders: 77 of 124 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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How often this wins
63 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 63.1% · the book's price implies 58.1% · gap +4.9%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 63.1% | 57.0% | 58.1% | 1.78 | +4.9% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/8 |
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Michael McGreevy (STL) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-139)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
San Francisco Giants play St. Louis Cardinals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Michael McGreevy (STL) Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-139). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -139 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.19 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Hit-rate ladder: SO
Michael McGreevy has gone over 1.5 SO in 60% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o1.560%
o2.550%
o3.520%
o4.510%
o5.50%
o6.50%
Michael McGreevy (STL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Michael McGreevy is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.9% on this pick. Their next game is St. Louis Cardinals vs San Francisco Giants on Wednesday 9 September at Oracle Park, San Francisco. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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